Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $42.53K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $42.61K
Potential payout: $1.31M
Potential profit: $1.27M
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $8.24K

If you invest $100 $3.08K back +$2.98K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $21.9K
Potential payout: $257.63K
Potential profit: $235.73K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$23.74K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $50.75K
Potential payout: $250.61K
Potential profit: $199.87K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $1.65K

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:09 PM

PnL: $8.77K
Volume: $74.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $391.04K
Potential payout: $392.41K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: $5.65K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $328.37K
Potential payout: $343.85K
Potential profit: $15.47K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $31.45K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.29K
Volume: $57.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $79.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.25K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.75K

If you invest $100 $125.39 back +$25.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $20.25K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.75K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: -$29.75K

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $239.31K
Potential payout: $250.59K
Potential profit: $11.28K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $45.4K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.19K
Potential profit: $89.19K
User PnL: -$1.75K

PnL: $4.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $278.68K
Potential payout: $350.54K
Potential profit: $71.86K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $99.82K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $234.64K
Potential payout: $245.69K
Potential profit: $11.06K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $60.65K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $43.12K
Potential payout: $54.24K
Potential profit: $11.12K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $18.69K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $32.67K
Potential payout: $35.26K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.29K

If you invest $100 $107.93 back +$7.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $119.86K
Potential payout: $125.51K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.08K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $85.59K
Potential payout: $85.8K
Potential profit: $214.51
User PnL: $5.89K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $20.8K
Potential payout: $26.17K
Potential profit: $5.36K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $6.17K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $20.04K
Potential payout: $29.26K
Potential profit: $9.22K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $8.96K

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.4K
Volume: $62.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $62.65K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $7.35K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8.05K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $54.09K
Potential payout: $55.45K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $50.75K
Potential payout: $250.61K
Potential profit: $199.87K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $1.65K

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $21.9K
Potential payout: $257.63K
Potential profit: $235.73K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$23.74K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $159.41K
Potential payout: $236.16K
Potential profit: $76.75K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $41.98K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $23.56K
Potential payout: $59.96K
Potential profit: $36.4K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $732.36

If you invest $100 $254.45 back +$154.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $96.88K
Potential payout: $101.44K
Potential profit: $4.57K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.17K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $398.88
Potential payout: $405.16
Potential profit: $6.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.02

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.02K
Volume: $1.46K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $230.7K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $115.41
User PnL: $30.94K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $93.1K
Potential payout: $93.9K
Potential profit: $798.17
User PnL: $54.25K

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $79.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.25K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.75K

If you invest $100 $125.39 back +$25.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $62.65K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $7.35K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8.05K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $54.09K
Potential payout: $55.45K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $50.75K
Potential payout: $250.61K
Potential profit: $199.87K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $1.65K

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $42.61K
Potential payout: $1.31M
Potential profit: $1.27M
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $8.24K

If you invest $100 $3.08K back +$2.98K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $41.35K
Potential payout: $42.04K
Potential profit: $693.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.98K

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.