Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $98.31K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
Unconscious9485
0x560b...af09 Public
- PnL
- $19.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?
Ends Feb 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $764.73
- Potential profit
- $764.12
- Multiplier
- 1250.00x
- User PnL
- -$385.36
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14K
- Potential profit
- $16.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Rank #2
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $15.6K
- Volume
- $65.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.35K
- Potential payout
- $60.97K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.84K
- Potential payout
- $30.88K
- Potential profit
- $46.33
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Rank #3
0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82
0xe0f3...d82c Public
- PnL
- $15.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #5
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $8.19K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #6
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $6.75K
- Volume
- $11.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $299.37
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.41
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $464.43
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Rank #7
uptime0724
0x1a2f...647a Public
- PnL
- $6.22K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $252
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $868
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Y
Yes position
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $219.73
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $630.28
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $49.72
Rank #8
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $5.97K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $149.17K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $825
- User PnL
- $525
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $130.76K
- Potential payout
- $134.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$201.07
Rank #9
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $5.34K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $93.02K
- Potential payout
- $93.73K
- Potential profit
- $702.95
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.2K
Rank #10
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $4.82K
- Volume
- $190.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $270.74K
- Potential profit
- $268.98K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $135.37
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $213.35K
- Potential profit
- $211.96K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $106.67
Rank #11
Valen9
0x162f...798d Public
- PnL
- $4.71K
- Volume
- $52.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $92.81K
- Potential payout
- $94.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$299.45
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $50.1K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
Rank #12
RizzEmWithTheTism
0x836f...906e Public
- PnL
- $4.57K
- Volume
- $10.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $71.97K
- Potential payout
- $73.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$172.93
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $13.36K
- Potential payout
- $13.69K
- Potential profit
- $335.45
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $116.38
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $145.5K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $13.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $130.76K
- Potential payout
- $134.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$201.07
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $106.06K
- Potential payout
- $108.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$545.77
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $92.81K
- Potential payout
- $94.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$299.45
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.35K
- Potential payout
- $60.97K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.2K
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