Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $49.14K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $376.03K
Potential payout: $2.68M
Potential profit: $2.3M
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $88.5K

If you invest $100 $711.74 back +$611.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $101.8K
Potential payout: $798.47K
Potential profit: $696.67K
Multiplier: 7.84x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $784.31 back +$684.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $80.38K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $319.54K
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: $5.12K

If you invest $100 $497.51 back +$397.51 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:28 AM

PnL: $10.55K
Volume: $40.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $403.6K
Potential payout: $410.79K
Potential profit: $7.19K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $42.44K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $326.55K
Potential payout: $327.36K
Potential profit: $818.41
User PnL: $5.04K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.68K
Volume: $816.72
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $178.86K
Potential payout: $438.48K
Potential profit: $259.63K
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $18.71K

If you invest $100 $245.16 back +$145.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $96.06K
Potential payout: $215.87K
Potential profit: $119.81K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.24K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $135.3K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $196.4K
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: -$26.03K

If you invest $100 $245.16 back +$145.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $75.62K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $220.34K
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $74.45K

If you invest $100 $391.39 back +$291.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.59K
Volume: $15.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $299.71K
Potential payout: $350.54K
Potential profit: $50.83K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $120.85K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $193.39K
Potential payout: $196.83K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $54K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 48.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $59.87K
Potential payout: $146.78K
Potential profit: $86.91K
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: -$11.67K

If you invest $100 $245.16 back +$145.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $20.48K
Potential profit: $18.36K
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: $1.47K

If you invest $100 $966.18 back +$866.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.98K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $165.72K
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $17.4K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.98K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $77.91K
Potential payout: $87.05K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.4K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.97K
Volume: $8.11K
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $123.32K
Potential payout: $125.51K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.53K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $85.76K
Potential payout: $85.8K
Potential profit: $42.9
User PnL: $6.06K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.9K
Volume: $179.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $5.61K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.5K

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $774.56
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.64K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $112.63K
Potential payout: $114.64K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.39K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $394.22
Potential payout: $405.16
Potential profit: $10.94
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$6.68

If you invest $100 $102.77 back +$2.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.57K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $376.03K
Potential payout: $2.68M
Potential profit: $2.3M
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $88.5K

If you invest $100 $711.74 back +$611.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $103.16K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $208.98K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $45.66K

If you invest $100 $302.57 back +$202.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $704.98
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $38.46K
Potential payout: $41.13K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.71K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $35.29K
Potential payout: $86.51K
Potential profit: $51.22K
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: -$1.02K

If you invest $100 $245.16 back +$145.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $85.98K
Potential payout: $95K
Potential profit: $9.03K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$309.89

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $49.59K
Potential payout: $150.05K
Potential profit: $100.46K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $23.1K

If you invest $100 $302.57 back +$202.57 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $178.86K
Potential payout: $438.48K
Potential profit: $259.63K
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $18.71K

If you invest $100 $245.16 back +$145.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $165.72K
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $17.4K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.98K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $103.16K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $208.98K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $45.66K

If you invest $100 $302.57 back +$202.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $101.8K
Potential payout: $798.47K
Potential profit: $696.67K
Multiplier: 7.84x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $784.31 back +$684.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $96.06K
Potential payout: $215.87K
Potential profit: $119.81K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $85.98K
Potential payout: $95K
Potential profit: $9.03K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$309.89

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

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