Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $59.85K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $32.21K
- Potential payout
- $350.07K
- Potential profit
- $317.86K
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- -$4.07K
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $24.84K
- Potential payout
- $103.49K
- Potential profit
- $78.65K
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $5.76K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $15.03K
- Volume
- $27.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $173.56K
- Potential payout
- $173.65K
- Potential profit
- $86.82
- User PnL
- $16.24K
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.53K
- Potential payout
- $61.18K
- Potential profit
- $7.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Rank #2
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #3
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $8.19K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #4
uptime0724
0x1a2f...647a Public
- PnL
- $6.21K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.1K
- Potential payout
- $9.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- $5K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Rank #5
onepingonly
0x950e...f8e5 Public
- PnL
- $4K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $66K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $334K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$51.36K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $928.58
Rank #6
Seutervoinen
0xfaf6...cc47 Public
- PnL
- $3.35K
- Volume
- $7.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $43.45K
- Potential payout
- $43.47K
- Potential profit
- $21.73
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $26.13K
- Potential payout
- $26.14K
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Rank #7
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $3.16K
- Volume
- $83.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $263.26K
- Potential profit
- $261.55K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $131.63
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $206.59K
- Potential profit
- $205.25K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$41.73
Rank #8
0x93a9...0b88
0x93a9...0b88 Public
- PnL
- $3.13K
- Volume
- $8.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.29K
- Potential payout
- $7.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $15.61K
- Potential profit
- $8.82K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$234.12
Rank #9
Themsnw
0x69c5...1e01 Public
- PnL
- $3.11K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 78.6%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $32.21K
- Potential payout
- $350.07K
- Potential profit
- $317.86K
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- -$4.07K
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $24.84K
- Potential payout
- $103.49K
- Potential profit
- $78.65K
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $5.76K
Rank #10
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $3.1K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $92.65K
- Potential payout
- $93.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $646.62
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.2K
Rank #11
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- $2.35K
- Volume
- $9.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $25.39K
- Potential payout
- $153.89K
- Potential profit
- $128.5K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $17.01K
- Potential payout
- $86.12K
- Potential profit
- $69.11K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Rank #12
RizzEmWithTheTism
0x836f...906e Public
- PnL
- $2.34K
- Volume
- $896.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $71.61K
- Potential payout
- $73.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$540.7
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.83K
- Potential payout
- $19.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- User PnL
- $598.97
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $145.5K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $13.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $92.65K
- Potential payout
- $93.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $646.62
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $71.61K
- Potential payout
- $73.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$540.7
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.53K
- Potential payout
- $61.18K
- Potential profit
- $7.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.2K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $50K
- Potential payout
- $63.7K
- Potential profit
- $13.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$6.57K
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