Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $102.13K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $453.59K
Potential payout: $3.13M
Potential profit: $2.67M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.47K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $80.37K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $685.07K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $49.64K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $70.15K
Potential payout: $501.08K
Potential profit: $430.93K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$863.37

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:58 AM

PnL: $31.66K
Volume: $438.41K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $453.59K
Potential payout: $3.13M
Potential profit: $2.67M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.47K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $70.15K
Potential payout: $501.08K
Potential profit: $430.93K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$863.37

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.84K
Volume: $41.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $30.69K
Potential payout: $34.97K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $23.85K
Potential payout: $116.33K
Potential profit: $92.48K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$12.11K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.01K
Volume: $69.65K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.6K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $73.34
User PnL: $60.58K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.87K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $29.51K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.46K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $789.77

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.64K
Volume: $4.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.46K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $50.76
User PnL: $28.87K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.13K
Potential payout: $12.2K
Potential profit: $73.21
User PnL: $632.21

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.93K
Volume: $95.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.51K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$507

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.42K
Volume: $10.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $32.43K
Potential payout: $32.46K
Potential profit: $32.46
User PnL: $9.36K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $80.37K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $685.07K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $49.64K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $37.29K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $388.87K
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $27.49K

If you invest $100 $1.14K back +$1.04K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.22K
Volume: $36.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $399.47
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $142.96

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $304.23
Potential payout: $313.64
Potential profit: $9.41
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $47.19

If you invest $100 $103.09 back +$3.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.2K
Volume: $739.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $400.75K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $99.25K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $150.75K

If you invest $100 $124.77 back +$24.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $99.25K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $400.75K
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$150.75K

If you invest $100 $503.78 back +$403.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.51K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $374.61K
Potential payout: $433.07K
Potential profit: $58.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $73.59K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $24.28K
Potential payout: $28.24K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.03K

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.46K
Volume: $17.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $99.25K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $400.75K
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$150.75K

If you invest $100 $503.78 back +$403.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $81.79K
Potential payout: $106.91K
Potential profit: $25.12K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $80.37K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $685.07K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $49.64K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $70.15K
Potential payout: $501.08K
Potential profit: $430.93K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$863.37

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

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