Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $98.35K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $40.67K
Potential payout: $569.59K
Potential profit: $528.92K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $5.64K

If you invest $100 $1.4K back +$1.3K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $79.09K
Potential payout: $140K
Potential profit: $60.91K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $9.09K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $49.18K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $29.51K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $5.07K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 4:30 AM

PnL: $19.92K
Volume: $4.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.46K
Potential payout: $18.47K
Potential profit: $9.24
User PnL: $4.02K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.59K
Potential payout: $17.59K
Potential profit: $8.8
User PnL: $4.03K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.21K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.75K
Potential payout: $56.78K
Potential profit: $28.39
User PnL: $17.67K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.26K
Potential payout: $20.27K
Potential profit: $10.13
User PnL: $4.93K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.66K
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.45K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $348.6
User PnL: $7.25K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $49.18K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $29.51K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $5.07K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.44K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 46.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $227.93K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.17K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $52.1K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $367.27
User PnL: $6.17K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.98K
Volume: $11.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $220.16K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $884.17
User PnL: $2.06K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $186.09K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $559.95
User PnL: $2.85K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.04K
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $11.32K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.67K
Volume: $7.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$474.99

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.09M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.82K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.16K
Volume: $53.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $154.52K
Potential payout: $155.61K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: $12.71K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $79.09K
Potential payout: $140K
Potential profit: $60.91K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $9.09K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.11K
Volume: $1.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $494.31
Potential payout: $495.55
Potential profit: $1.24
User PnL: -$0.74

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $494.25
Potential payout: $496.73
Potential profit: $2.48
User PnL: $286.48

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.16K
Volume: $5.87K
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $40.67K
Potential payout: $569.59K
Potential profit: $528.92K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $5.64K

If you invest $100 $1.4K back +$1.3K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.41K
Potential payout: $214.84K
Potential profit: $207.43K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $4.83K

If you invest $100 $2.9K back +$2.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.15K
Volume: $21.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $38.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $51.47

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $748.66
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$145.29

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.13K
Volume: $10
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $107.38K
Potential payout: $110.08K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $37.14K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $32.52K
Potential payout: $46.79K
Potential profit: $14.28K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $4.15K

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $49.18K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $29.51K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $5.07K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $40.67K
Potential payout: $569.59K
Potential profit: $528.92K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $5.64K

If you invest $100 $1.4K back +$1.3K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $32.52K
Potential payout: $46.79K
Potential profit: $14.28K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $4.15K

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $31.74K
Potential payout: $35.26K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $15.61K
Potential payout: $41.91K
Potential profit: $26.3K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.5K

If you invest $100 $268.46 back +$168.46 estimated profit if it wins

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