Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $209.61K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $992.5K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $47.89K
Potential payout: $1.08M
Potential profit: $1.03M
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$95.85K

If you invest $100 $2.25K back +$2.15K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $31.42K
Potential payout: $1.03M
Potential profit: $998.67K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $3.04K

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 12:45 AM

PnL: $51.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $78.23K
Potential payout: $82.39K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $62.47K

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.12K
Potential profit: $135.12K
User PnL: -$11.2K

PnL: $41.15K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $129.03K
Potential payout: $374.1K
Potential profit: $245.07K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$71.31K

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $40.22K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $126.1K
Potential payout: $365.6K
Potential profit: $239.5K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$46.26K

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $84

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.81K
Volume: $424.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.57K
Potential payout: $31.65K
Potential profit: $27.07K
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $4.05K

If you invest $100 $692.04 back +$592.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $359.17

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.85K
Volume: $54.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $47.89K
Potential payout: $1.08M
Potential profit: $1.03M
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$95.85K

If you invest $100 $2.25K back +$2.15K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $45.22K
Potential payout: $158.74K
Potential profit: $113.51K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $5.24K

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.35K
Volume: $43.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $100.55K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $964.38
User PnL: $27.95K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $28.21K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $12.97K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $15.28K

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.21K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $35.13K
Potential payout: $101.87K
Potential profit: $66.73K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$9.24K

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.39K
Volume: $753.68
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $392.96K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $302.67K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $51.86K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $199.77K
Potential payout: $225.6K
Potential profit: $25.83K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.09K

If you invest $100 $112.93 back +$12.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.34K
Volume: $50.44K
Win rate: 52%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $46.61K
Potential payout: $115.09K
Potential profit: $68.48K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $16.65K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $992.5K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.2K
Volume: $136.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $631.13K
Potential payout: $632.71K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: $79.96K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $621.94K
Potential payout: $623.5K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: $50.38K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.12K
Volume: $82.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $151.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $89.1

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $212.18
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.75

If you invest $100 $106.44 back +$6.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.32K
Volume: $338.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $66.24K
Potential payout: $84.93K
Potential profit: $18.68K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $62.04K

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $40.8K
Potential payout: $51.03K
Potential profit: $10.23K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $35.18K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $129.03K
Potential payout: $374.1K
Potential profit: $245.07K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$71.31K

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $78.23K
Potential payout: $82.39K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $62.47K

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $66.24K
Potential payout: $84.93K
Potential profit: $18.68K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $62.04K

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $47.89K
Potential payout: $1.08M
Potential profit: $1.03M
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$95.85K

If you invest $100 $2.25K back +$2.15K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $46.61K
Potential payout: $115.09K
Potential profit: $68.48K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $16.65K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $45.22K
Potential payout: $158.74K
Potential profit: $113.51K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $5.24K

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

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