Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $47.32K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $378.44K
Potential payout: $2.68M
Potential profit: $2.3M
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $90.91K

If you invest $100 $707.21 back +$607.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $102.6K
Potential payout: $798.47K
Potential profit: $695.87K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $4.7K

If you invest $100 $778.21 back +$678.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $80.38K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $319.54K
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: $5.12K

If you invest $100 $497.51 back +$397.51 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:18 AM

PnL: $9.64K
Volume: $38.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $403.6K
Potential payout: $410.79K
Potential profit: $7.19K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $42.44K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $326.55K
Potential payout: $327.36K
Potential profit: $818.41
User PnL: $5.04K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.36K
Volume: $816.72
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $178.42K
Potential payout: $438.48K
Potential profit: $260.07K
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $18.27K

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $96.06K
Potential payout: $215.87K
Potential profit: $119.81K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.76K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $134.97K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $196.73K
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: -$26.37K

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $75.62K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $220.34K
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $74.45K

If you invest $100 $391.39 back +$291.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.4K
Volume: $15.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $299.71K
Potential payout: $350.54K
Potential profit: $50.83K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $120.85K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $193.39K
Potential payout: $196.83K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $54K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.28K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $165.72K
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $17.4K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.98K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $77.91K
Potential payout: $87.05K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.4K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.88K
Volume: $8.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $123.32K
Potential payout: $125.51K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.53K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $85.76K
Potential payout: $85.8K
Potential profit: $42.9
User PnL: $6.06K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.86K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 48.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $59.72K
Potential payout: $146.78K
Potential profit: $87.05K
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: -$11.81K

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $20.48K
Potential profit: $18.5K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $1.33K

If you invest $100 $1.04K back +$936.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.85K
Volume: $108.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $5.62K
Potential profit: $3.01K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.51K

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $14.67K
Potential profit: $12.2K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $2.23K

If you invest $100 $593.47 back +$493.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.72K
Volume: $164.49K
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $15.86K
Potential payout: $166.05K
Potential profit: $150.19K
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $2.98K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$947.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.3%
Current value: $13.93K
Potential payout: $23.9K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $3.93K

If you invest $100 $171.53 back +$71.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.57K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $378.44K
Potential payout: $2.68M
Potential profit: $2.3M
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $90.91K

If you invest $100 $707.21 back +$607.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $103.16K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $208.98K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $45.66K

If you invest $100 $302.57 back +$202.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.52K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $112.63K
Potential payout: $114.64K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.39K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $393.01
Potential payout: $405.16
Potential profit: $12.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$7.9

If you invest $100 $103.09 back +$3.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.43K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4.58K
Potential payout: $22.92K
Potential profit: $18.34K
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$299.93

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $15.52K
Potential profit: $14.04K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $919.02

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $178.42K
Potential payout: $438.48K
Potential profit: $260.07K
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $18.27K

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $165.72K
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $17.4K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.98K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $103.16K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $208.98K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $45.66K

If you invest $100 $302.57 back +$202.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $102.6K
Potential payout: $798.47K
Potential profit: $695.87K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $4.7K

If you invest $100 $778.21 back +$678.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $96.06K
Potential payout: $215.87K
Potential profit: $119.81K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $80.38K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $319.54K
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: $5.12K

If you invest $100 $497.51 back +$397.51 estimated profit if it wins

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