No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $72.79K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15.24K
- Potential payout
- $101.6K
- Potential profit
- $86.36K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$70.6K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $590.68K
- Potential payout
- $616.9K
- Potential profit
- $26.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.36K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
87867564576879
0xeb6f...25f0 Public
- PnL
- $15.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.19K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $978.66
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $8.91K
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $112.76
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Rank #2
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $10.13K
- Volume
- $10.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $650.74K
- Potential payout
- $653.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- $81.87K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $621.92K
- Potential payout
- $625.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- User PnL
- $48.53K
Rank #3
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $9.09K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $30.4K
- Potential payout
- $31.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.48K
Rank #4
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b
0x4207...b81b Public
- PnL
- $7.55K
- Volume
- $31.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $587.56
- Potential payout
- $799.4
- Potential profit
- $211.84
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$42.29
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $99.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $101.01
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $59
Rank #5
nojnn
0x7f9e...3a0e Public
- PnL
- $6.08K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $518.71K
- Potential payout
- $592.81K
- Potential profit
- $74.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $109.39K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $62.41K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.64K
Rank #6
willo3
0x33e2...3a1b Public
- PnL
- $5.4K
- Volume
- $16.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $305.19
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $66.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $44.97
Rank #7
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $5.33K
- Volume
- $30.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.51K
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $29.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $103.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Rank #8
pugdev
0xb8a7...7674 Public
- PnL
- $5.08K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15.24K
- Potential payout
- $101.6K
- Potential profit
- $86.36K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$70.6K
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $7.64K
- Potential payout
- $7.99K
- Potential profit
- $359.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $569.72
Rank #9
ydxistheking
0xdbf7...fbea Public @EldarYadin
- PnL
- $4.23K
- Volume
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.07K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $549.29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $13.19K
- Potential payout
- $22.36K
- Potential profit
- $9.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Rank #10
65765757
0x2974...9c23 Public
- PnL
- $4.18K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $378.94K
- Potential payout
- $433.07K
- Potential profit
- $54.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $77.92K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $23.01K
- Potential payout
- $28.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Rank #11
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $3.82K
- Volume
- $46.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $106.06K
- Potential payout
- $110.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $35.81K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $32.8K
- Potential payout
- $35.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Rank #12
VictorLudorum
0x090a...0fa6 Public
- PnL
- $3.76K
- Volume
- $9.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Spain?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $25.88
- Potential payout
- $29.25
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $22.02K
- Potential profit
- $22.01K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$438.32
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $62.41K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.64K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $32.8K
- Potential payout
- $35.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $29.48K
- Potential payout
- $46.79K
- Potential profit
- $17.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $23.01K
- Potential payout
- $28.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.75K
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.07K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $549.29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15.24K
- Potential payout
- $101.6K
- Potential profit
- $86.36K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$70.6K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market context is temporarily unavailable
Trader intelligence is still available above.