Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $102.73K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $684.68K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $50.02K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $101K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $399K
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$149K

If you invest $100 $495.05 back +$395.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $36.82K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $389.34K
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: $27.02K

If you invest $100 $1.16K back +$1.06K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:11 PM

PnL: $19.07K
Volume: $1.24K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.99K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $295.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.89K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $202.68K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $24.16K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $9.89K

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.48K
Volume: $15.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.01K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $250.19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $98.99

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.08K
Volume: $58.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $30.69K
Potential payout: $34.97K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $23.78K
Potential payout: $116.33K
Potential profit: $92.55K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$12.18K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $30.17K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.21K
Volume: $196.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $18.27K
Potential profit: $14.73K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $3.23K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $5.48K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: -$945

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.79K
Volume: $4.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.46K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $50.76
User PnL: $28.87K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.13K
Potential payout: $12.2K
Potential profit: $73.21
User PnL: $632.21

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.77K
Volume: $91.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.6K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $73.34
User PnL: $60.58K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.37K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $684.68K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $50.02K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $36.82K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $389.34K
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: $27.02K

If you invest $100 $1.16K back +$1.06K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.04K
Volume: $21.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.45K
Potential payout: $32.46K
Potential profit: $16.23
User PnL: $9.38K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.91K
Volume: $89.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.89K
Volume: $6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $27.81K
Potential payout: $31.07K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.8K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $24.5K
Potential payout: $41.52K
Potential profit: $17.02K
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $169.49 back +$69.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.46K
Volume: $750.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $399K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $101K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $149K

If you invest $100 $125.31 back +$25.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $101K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $399K
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$149K

If you invest $100 $495.05 back +$395.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $202.68K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $24.16K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $9.89K

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $101K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $399K
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$149K

If you invest $100 $495.05 back +$395.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $81.79K
Potential payout: $106.91K
Potential profit: $25.12K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $684.68K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $50.02K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

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