Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $36.16K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $30.7K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $13.38K
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $27.33K
- Potential payout
- $63.55K
- Potential profit
- $36.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.31K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
dissidentdad
0x74bf...2a6e Public
- PnL
- $8.13K
- Volume
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $27.33K
- Potential payout
- $63.55K
- Potential profit
- $36.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.31K
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Rank #2
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $5.64K
- Volume
- $288.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $178.82K
- Potential payout
- $204.36K
- Potential profit
- $25.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $97.39K
- Potential payout
- $101.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.08K
Rank #3
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
Rank #4
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $122.48K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $243.12K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$49.88K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #5
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $3.2K
- Volume
- $3.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $81.9K
- Potential payout
- $82.4K
- Potential profit
- $494.37
- User PnL
- $47.8K
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $40.23K
- Potential payout
- $61.42K
- Potential profit
- $21.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Rank #6
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $2.5K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $148.72K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $130.76K
- Potential payout
- $134.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$201.07
Rank #7
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $2.41K
- Volume
- $36.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $539.2K
- Potential payout
- $542.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- $48.73K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $447.4K
- Potential payout
- $468.48K
- Potential profit
- $21.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $79.19K
Rank #8
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $2.35K
- Volume
- $2.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $332.63
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $59.15
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $452.82
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Rank #9
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $2.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $129K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $23.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $13K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $30.7K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $13.38K
Rank #10
ProfessionalPunter
0x22e4...ef1c Public @evan_semet
- PnL
- $2.26K
- Volume
- $77.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $68.96K
- Potential payout
- $72.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $12.71K
- Potential payout
- $14.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $72.6
Rank #11
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $2.14K
- Volume
- $2.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $587.71
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $510.82
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $555.4
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $154.66
- Potential payout
- $213.33
- Potential profit
- $58.67
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $147.04
Rank #12
tourists
0xc6dd...4b9f Public
- PnL
- $2.04K
- Volume
- $73.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $58.77K
- Potential payout
- $61.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$175.19
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $39.38K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $5.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $225
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $129K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $23.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $13K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $105.96K
- Potential payout
- $108.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$654.16
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $79.95K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.95K
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $68.96K
- Potential payout
- $72.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $40.23K
- Potential payout
- $61.42K
- Potential profit
- $21.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
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