Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $43.43K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $47.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.05M
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$98.89K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $392.96K
- Potential payout
- $695.64K
- Potential profit
- $302.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $51.86K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
tdrhrhhd
0xd7f8...89e4 Public @fortaellinger
- PnL
- $7.32K
- Volume
- $50.44K
- Win rate
- 52%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.61K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Rank #2
unknwnfnd
0xbc75...3f69 Public
- PnL
- $6.25K
- Volume
- $413.51
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $392.96K
- Potential payout
- $695.64K
- Potential profit
- $302.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $51.86K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $198.64K
- Potential payout
- $225.6K
- Potential profit
- $26.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.97K
Rank #3
betwick
0xc851...cd2a Public @Betwick1
- PnL
- $5.24K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $62.63K
- Potential payout
- $205.34K
- Potential profit
- $142.71K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $10.91K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $47.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.05M
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$98.89K
Rank #4
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c2...2ab0 Public
- PnL
- $4.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $40.26K
- Potential payout
- $99.41K
- Potential profit
- $59.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.38K
Rank #5
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $4.26K
- Volume
- $34.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $151.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $89.1
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $3.3K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $206.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Rank #6
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $91.65K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $282.44K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$108.69K
Rank #7
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $89.57K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $276.03K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$82.79K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #8
EB99999
0x5d0f...f0ad Public
- PnL
- $3.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80.6%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $13.88K
- Potential payout
- $40.76K
- Potential profit
- $26.88K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $13.32K
- Potential payout
- $32.88K
- Potential profit
- $19.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $182.81
Rank #9
Chinuita
0xf4cc...571d Public
- PnL
- $2.59K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $21.05K
- Potential payout
- $51.97K
- Potential profit
- $30.92K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.73K
- Potential payout
- $13.75K
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- User PnL
- $4.95K
Rank #10
Huludubu
0xe738...df65 Public
- PnL
- $2.58K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $116.18K
- Potential payout
- $132.77K
- Potential profit
- $16.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.95K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $70.91K
- Potential payout
- $149.29K
- Potential profit
- $78.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Rank #11
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $2.45K
- Volume
- $18.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $32.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #12
0x2858Ae37256feA3b5f14b18181F0C5e0AbD55964-1769017480720
0x2858...5964 Public
- PnL
- $2.36K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $19.15K
- Potential payout
- $47.28K
- Potential profit
- $28.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$881.17
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.98K
- Potential payout
- $6.4K
- Potential profit
- $416.05
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $193.44
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $91.65K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $282.44K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$108.69K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $70.91K
- Potential payout
- $149.29K
- Potential profit
- $78.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $62.63K
- Potential payout
- $205.34K
- Potential profit
- $142.71K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $10.91K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $47.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.05M
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$98.89K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.61K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
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