Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $360.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.67M
- Potential profit
- $2.31M
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $141.38K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58.31K
- Potential payout
- $402.13K
- Potential profit
- $343.82K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $53.29K
- Potential payout
- $304.5K
- Potential profit
- $251.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$81.46K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
ZnotluvuiSamez
0x2889...9226 Public @ZnotluvuiSamez
- PnL
- $45.4K
- Volume
- $707.84K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $360.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.67M
- Potential profit
- $2.31M
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58.31K
- Potential payout
- $402.13K
- Potential profit
- $343.82K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Rank #2
Unconscious9485
0x560b...af09 Public
- PnL
- $19.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?
Ends Feb 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $764.73
- Potential profit
- $764.12
- Multiplier
- 1250.00x
- User PnL
- -$385.36
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14K
- Potential profit
- $16.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Rank #3
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $15.15K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $45.9K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $33.05K
- Potential payout
- $57.49K
- Potential profit
- $24.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Rank #4
0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82
0xe0f3...d82c Public
- PnL
- $15.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #5
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $8.89K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $778.82K
- Potential payout
- $900.37K
- Potential profit
- $121.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $128.79K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $29.18K
- Potential payout
- $32.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $460.05
Rank #6
betwick
0xc851...cd2a Public @Betwick1
- PnL
- $8.68K
- Volume
- $58.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $32.49K
- Potential payout
- $209.63K
- Potential profit
- $177.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.89K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $18.51K
- Potential payout
- $24.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $120.98
Rank #7
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $8.45K
- Volume
- $7.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $148.09
- Potential payout
- $210.05
- Potential profit
- $61.97
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $148.09
No position
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $119.21
- Potential payout
- $187.73
- Potential profit
- $68.52
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Rank #8
Anon321321
0xe347...b438 Public
- PnL
- $6.71K
- Volume
- $4.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $96
- Potential payout
- $492.3
- Potential profit
- $396.3
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Y
Yes position
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $83.08
- Potential payout
- $536
- Potential profit
- $452.92
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$24.12
Rank #9
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $6.69K
- Volume
- $159.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $962.01
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 3.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Rank #10
Nargili
0x96f4...edc5 Public
- PnL
- $6.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 45.9%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $53.29K
- Potential payout
- $304.5K
- Potential profit
- $251.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$81.46K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $502.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Rank #11
My-name-Soloway
0xc810...2e98 Public
- PnL
- $6.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.78K
- Potential payout
- $302.04K
- Potential profit
- $261.26K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $6.14K
Rank #12
nojnn
0x7f9e...3a0e Public
- PnL
- $5.74K
- Volume
- $5.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $510.28K
- Potential payout
- $589.91K
- Potential profit
- $79.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $102.95K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $53.2K
- Potential payout
- $53.46K
- Potential profit
- $267.31
- User PnL
- $15.21K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $53.29K
- Potential payout
- $304.5K
- Potential profit
- $251.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$81.46K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $45.9K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $33.05K
- Potential payout
- $57.49K
- Potential profit
- $24.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $32.49K
- Potential payout
- $209.63K
- Potential profit
- $177.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.89K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $29.21K
- Potential payout
- $35.4K
- Potential profit
- $6.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$45.17
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $29.18K
- Potential payout
- $32.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $460.05
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