Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $88.89K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $16.47K
- Volume
- $17.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $299.37
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.41
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $464.43
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Rank #2
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $15.62K
- Volume
- $70.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.34K
- Potential payout
- $60.96K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.84K
- Potential payout
- $30.88K
- Potential profit
- $46.33
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Rank #3
mustafa.the.intern
0xb0c8...fe7f Public
- PnL
- $10.71K
- Volume
- $7.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $24.93
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $24.72
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Rank #4
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #5
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $8.19K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #6
uptime0724
0x1a2f...647a Public
- PnL
- $6.22K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $252
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $868
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Y
Yes position
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Current value
- $218.88
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $631.13
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- $48.88
Rank #7
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $5.97K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $149.17K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $825
- User PnL
- $525
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $130.76K
- Potential payout
- $134.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$201.07
Rank #8
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $5.34K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $93.12K
- Potential payout
- $93.73K
- Potential profit
- $609.23
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.2K
Rank #9
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $5.09K
- Volume
- $206.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $270.99K
- Potential profit
- $269.23K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $135.22
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $214.57K
- Potential profit
- $213.18K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $107.29
Rank #10
Valen9
0x162f...798d Public
- PnL
- $4.71K
- Volume
- $52.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $92.62K
- Potential payout
- $94.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$489.15
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $50.1K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
Rank #11
RizzEmWithTheTism
0x836f...906e Public
- PnL
- $4.57K
- Volume
- $11.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $73.16K
- Potential payout
- $74.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$321.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $13.36K
- Potential payout
- $13.69K
- Potential profit
- $335.45
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $116.38
Rank #12
Seutervoinen
0xfaf6...cc47 Public
- PnL
- $4.36K
- Volume
- $18.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $25.04K
- Potential payout
- $27.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $481.81
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $19.61K
- Potential payout
- $19.83K
- Potential profit
- $218.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $773.45
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $145.5K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $13.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $130.76K
- Potential payout
- $134.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$201.07
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $106.06K
- Potential payout
- $108.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$545.77
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $92.62K
- Potential payout
- $94.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$489.15
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.34K
- Potential payout
- $60.96K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.2K
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