Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $110.36K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $263.74K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$89.98K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $599.86K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $198.87K
- Potential payout
- $318.19K
- Potential profit
- $119.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $102.77K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $354.53K
- Potential payout
- $429.74K
- Potential profit
- $75.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $23.55K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $59.93K
- Volume
- $845.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $354.53K
- Potential payout
- $429.74K
- Potential profit
- $75.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $23.55K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $110.96K
- Potential payout
- $111.57K
- Potential profit
- $613.65
- User PnL
- $4.24K
Rank #5
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $59.02K
- Volume
- $147.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Rank #6
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #7
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $43.02K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $110.36K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $263.74K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$89.98K
Rank #8
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $42.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $107.85K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $257.75K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$64.51K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #9
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $716.22
- User PnL
- -$322.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.45
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- User PnL
- -$370.86
Rank #10
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #11
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Rank #12
thepicklebomber - 3805
0x95b1...f9ac Public
- PnL
- $18.12K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $198.87K
- Potential payout
- $318.19K
- Potential profit
- $119.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $102.77K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $110.36K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $263.74K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$89.98K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $68.71K
- Potential payout
- $70.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.97K
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $53.93
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market UFC Live
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes35.9% No64.2%
Market Live
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes13% No87%
Market Live
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Yes6.3% No93.8%
Market UFC Live
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?
Yes19.5% No80.5%
Market UFC Live
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes24.8% No75.3%
Market Live
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Yes4.2% No95.8%
Market UFC Live
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
Yes2.5% No97.6%
Market Live
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Yes5.3% No94.8%
Market UFC Live
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes54.8% No45.3%