Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $360.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.67M
- Potential profit
- $2.31M
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $141.38K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58.31K
- Potential payout
- $402.13K
- Potential profit
- $343.82K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $53.29K
- Potential payout
- $304.5K
- Potential profit
- $251.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$81.46K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
ZnotluvuiSamez
0x2889...9226 Public @ZnotluvuiSamez
- PnL
- $45.4K
- Volume
- $707.84K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $360.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.67M
- Potential profit
- $2.31M
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58.31K
- Potential payout
- $402.13K
- Potential profit
- $343.82K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Rank #2
Unconscious9485
0x560b...af09 Public
- PnL
- $19.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?
Ends Feb 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $764.73
- Potential profit
- $764.12
- Multiplier
- 1250.00x
- User PnL
- -$385.36
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14K
- Potential profit
- $16.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Rank #3
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $15.15K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $45.9K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $33.05K
- Potential payout
- $57.49K
- Potential profit
- $24.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Rank #4
0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82
0xe0f3...d82c Public
- PnL
- $15.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #5
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $8.89K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $778.82K
- Potential payout
- $900.37K
- Potential profit
- $121.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $128.79K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $29.18K
- Potential payout
- $32.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $460.05
Rank #6
betwick
0xc851...cd2a Public @Betwick1
- PnL
- $8.68K
- Volume
- $58.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $32.49K
- Potential payout
- $209.63K
- Potential profit
- $177.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.89K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $18.51K
- Potential payout
- $24.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $120.98
Rank #7
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $8.45K
- Volume
- $7.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $148.09
- Potential payout
- $210.05
- Potential profit
- $61.97
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $148.09
No position
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $119.21
- Potential payout
- $187.73
- Potential profit
- $68.52
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Rank #8
Anon321321
0xe347...b438 Public
- PnL
- $6.71K
- Volume
- $4.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $96
- Potential payout
- $492.3
- Potential profit
- $396.3
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Y
Yes position
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $83.08
- Potential payout
- $536
- Potential profit
- $452.92
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$24.12
Rank #9
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $6.69K
- Volume
- $159.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $962.01
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 3.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Rank #10
Nargili
0x96f4...edc5 Public
- PnL
- $6.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 45.9%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $53.29K
- Potential payout
- $304.5K
- Potential profit
- $251.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$81.46K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $502.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Rank #11
My-name-Soloway
0xc810...2e98 Public
- PnL
- $6.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.78K
- Potential payout
- $302.04K
- Potential profit
- $261.26K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $6.14K
Rank #12
nojnn
0x7f9e...3a0e Public
- PnL
- $5.74K
- Volume
- $5.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $510.28K
- Potential payout
- $589.91K
- Potential profit
- $79.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $102.95K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $53.2K
- Potential payout
- $53.46K
- Potential profit
- $267.31
- User PnL
- $15.21K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $53.29K
- Potential payout
- $304.5K
- Potential profit
- $251.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$81.46K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $45.9K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $14.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $33.05K
- Potential payout
- $57.49K
- Potential profit
- $24.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $32.49K
- Potential payout
- $209.63K
- Potential profit
- $177.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.89K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $29.21K
- Potential payout
- $35.4K
- Potential profit
- $6.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$45.17
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $29.18K
- Potential payout
- $32.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $460.05
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Tennis Live
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5 Jul 6, 2026
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5 Jong vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
Yes100% No0%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5 Jong vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
Yes0% No100%
Event Tennis Live
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington JonesWimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Yes95.6% No4.4%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 Nakashima vs. Jones: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
Yes100% No0%
Market Tennis Live
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Tennis Live
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Yes22.5% No77.5%
Market Tennis Live
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Yes10.5% No89.5%
Market Tennis Live
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Yes7.4% No92.6%
Market Tennis Live
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Yes5.6% No94.5%
Market Tennis Live
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Yes7.8% No92.3%
Market Tennis Live
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Yes10% No90.1%
Market Tennis Live
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Yes56.5% No43.5%
Market Tennis Live
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Yes7.3% No92.8%
Market Tennis Live
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Yes6.7% No93.3%