No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$8.4K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $6.55K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $40.01K
- Potential payout
- $47.91K
- Potential profit
- $7.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $37.51K
- Potential payout
- $44.84K
- Potential profit
- $7.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9.66K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $868.14
- Volume
- $29.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.84K
- Potential payout
- $11.88K
- Potential profit
- $35.64
- User PnL
- $139.92
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.83K
- Potential payout
- $11.7K
- Potential profit
- $877.84
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $670.32
Rank #14
fastviking
0x8d0c...5839 Public
- PnL
- $858.59
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $99.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.74K
- Potential profit
- $93.74K
- User PnL
- -$42.35K
Rank #15
godblesssmyle
0xabca...8cd7 Public
- PnL
- $808.21
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #16
Snoopyfan
0x6291...cc47 Public @SnoopyfanCA
- PnL
- $763.91
- Volume
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Ends Oct 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $214.32
- Potential payout
- $739.03
- Potential profit
- $524.71
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $29.56
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $210.47
- Potential payout
- $958.87
- Potential profit
- $748.4
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $56.51
Rank #17
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $691.64
- Volume
- $5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $41.77K
- Potential payout
- $45.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $40.01K
- Potential payout
- $47.91K
- Potential profit
- $7.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9K
Rank #18
nonkenny90
0x5cd5...ac33 Public
- PnL
- $564.77
- Volume
- $31.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $80.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $158.53
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $29.44
- User PnL
- $389.45
Rank #19
Citywoods2020
0xe896...7584 Public
- PnL
- $518.47
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
rumpuld
0xbafd...2964 Public
- PnL
- $505.34
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a...00f2 Public
- PnL
- $500.06
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $9.73K
- User PnL
- -$77.86
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $55K
- User PnL
- -$21.45K
Rank #22
Valen9
0x162f...798d Public
- PnL
- $473.77
- Volume
- $499.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $16.13K
- Potential payout
- $16.32K
- Potential profit
- $187.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.82K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $390
Rank #23
eisenpanzer
0x13a0...100d Public
- PnL
- $462.89
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #24
manuelarias
0x0086...1b8c Public
- PnL
- $451.95
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$15
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $16.13K
- Potential payout
- $16.32K
- Potential profit
- $187.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.82K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $390
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $14.48K
- Potential payout
- $15.16K
- Potential profit
- $682.22
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $107.4
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.83K
- Potential payout
- $11.7K
- Potential profit
- $877.84
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $670.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $80.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $158.53
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $68.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $73.43
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