Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $20.78K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $550.45
Potential payout: $366.96K
Potential profit: $366.41K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$40.27K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $6.87K
Potential payout: $101.82K
Potential profit: $94.95K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$1.19K

If you invest $100 $1.48K back +$1.38K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $44.8K
Potential profit: $42.99K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $319.35

If you invest $100 $2.47K back +$2.37K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:34 PM

PnL: $2.27K
Volume: $1.93K
Win rate: 68%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $654.62
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $969.75
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $540.92

If you invest $100 $248.14 back +$148.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $550.45
Potential payout: $366.96K
Potential profit: $366.41K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$40.27K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $4.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$361.41

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$55.27

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.25K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $14.69K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $700.42
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.65K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.21K
Volume: $7.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mitchell Robinson play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $6.79

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mitchell Robinson play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $6.79

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.2K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $129
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$51

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $112.22
Potential payout: $348.5
Potential profit: $236.28
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $12.22

If you invest $100 $310.56 back +$210.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.04

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.03

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $302.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Current value: $37.13K
Potential payout: $44.84K
Potential profit: $7.71K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9.28K

If you invest $100 $120.77 back +$20.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $30.03K
Potential payout: $37.37K
Potential profit: $7.34K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.89K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.75K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.73K
Volume: $39.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $6.87K
Potential payout: $101.82K
Potential profit: $94.95K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$1.19K

If you invest $100 $1.48K back +$1.38K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.71K
Potential payout: $6.71K
Potential profit: $3.35
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $1.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.9K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $817.13

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $5.49K
Potential payout: $15.24K
Potential profit: $9.76K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$359.47

If you invest $100 $277.78 back +$177.78 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $14.69K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $700.42
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.65K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.6K
Potential payout: $11.84K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.9K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $817.13

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $6.87K
Potential payout: $101.82K
Potential profit: $94.95K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$1.19K

If you invest $100 $1.48K back +$1.38K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $6.04K
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$115.44

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

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