Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$489.6
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $25.37K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.99
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$395.63
Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $113.1
- Potential payout
- $17.4K
- Potential profit
- $17.29K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$22.83
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $3.12K
- Volume
- $66.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $14.06K
- Potential payout
- $15.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $14.04K
- Potential payout
- $14.75K
- Potential profit
- $715.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53.43
Rank #14
expectingmore
0x39d3...963d Public
- PnL
- $3.09K
- Volume
- $84.76K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #15
My-name-Soloway
0xc810...2e98 Public
- PnL
- $3.02K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #16
AlexCimmeria
0x21c7...191a Public
- PnL
- $2.6K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $42.9
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$61.6
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$489.6
Rank #17
generalSVR
0x5e85...80c1 Public
- PnL
- $2.59K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $2.36K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$122.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $10.57
- User PnL
- $399.95
Rank #19
chungguskhan
0x7744...999e Public @tenad0me
- PnL
- $2.3K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
Poopin
0xc1fa...d0b7 Public
- PnL
- $2.26K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
Bogr
0x3a68...835a Public
- PnL
- $2.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.03
- Potential profit
- $60.03
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.03
- Potential profit
- $60.03
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Rank #22
back-in-whack
0x5235...c04a Public
- PnL
- $2K
- Volume
- $826
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $50.17
- Potential payout
- $127.01
- Potential profit
- $76.84
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Rank #23
sabsabinxz
0xd3ec...6603 Public
- PnL
- $1.99K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 35.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $20.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $19.6
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $10.49
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Rank #24
Gucky-45
0xe613...540e Public
- PnL
- $1.83K
- Volume
- $7.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $113.1
- Potential payout
- $17.4K
- Potential profit
- $17.29K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$22.83
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $111
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.89K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $21.45
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$122.71
Yes position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $825.94
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$45.36
Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $113.1
- Potential payout
- $17.4K
- Potential profit
- $17.29K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$22.83
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $111
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.89K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $21.45
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $77.5
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