No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $7.05K
- Potential payout
- $46.98K
- Potential profit
- $39.93K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $7.13K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
N
No position
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $941.02
- Potential payout
- $14.48K
- Potential profit
- $13.54K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.57K
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $917.52
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $1.06K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $10.48K
- Potential payout
- $10.53K
- Potential profit
- $42.1
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $9.94K
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $281.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $415.85
Rank #14
SnowLover7
0xc8b9...b836 Public
- PnL
- $905.79
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $941.02
- Potential payout
- $14.48K
- Potential profit
- $13.54K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.57K
No position
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $711.33
- Potential payout
- $714.9
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- $4.29
Rank #15
Melody626
0xecaa...77a9 Public
- PnL
- $825.79
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $13.92K
- Potential payout
- $14.03K
- Potential profit
- $105.23
- User PnL
- $3.32K
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $7.53K
- Potential payout
- $7.58K
- Potential profit
- $49.25
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Rank #16
back-in-whack
0x5235...c04a Public
- PnL
- $797.9
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $50.17
- Potential payout
- $127.01
- Potential profit
- $76.84
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Rank #17
sabsabinxz
0xd3ec...6603 Public
- PnL
- $777.6
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 35.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $19.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $20.8
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1
Rank #18
Knicksin3
0x4194...9809 Public
- PnL
- $631.75
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #19
0x955c...990f
0x955c...990f Public
- PnL
- $581.19
- Volume
- $1.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $191.76
- Potential payout
- $572.43
- Potential profit
- $380.67
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$65.83
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $101.52
- Potential payout
- $101.93
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- User PnL
- $15.99
Rank #20
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $536.92
- Volume
- $2.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $16.69
- Potential payout
- $33.39K
- Potential profit
- $33.37K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$664.65
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $16.69
- Potential payout
- $33.39K
- Potential profit
- $33.37K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$664.65
Rank #21
vinii
0x1ee9...197f Public @viiniijunior
- PnL
- $508.55
- Volume
- $4.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $94.49
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $74.42
N
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $133.67
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $184.1
Rank #22
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- $508.04
- Volume
- $283.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $607.5
- Potential payout
- $405K
- Potential profit
- $404.39K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.82K
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $521.82
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 6.97x
- User PnL
- $321.82
Rank #23
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $507.61
- Volume
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.6%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $841.13
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $31.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $993.89
Rank #24
forinnerpsandr1x11222
0x5c14...cc49 Public
- PnL
- $500.24
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $8.94K
- Potential payout
- $9.3K
- Potential profit
- $357.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $117.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $7.05K
- Potential payout
- $46.98K
- Potential profit
- $39.93K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $2.46K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $7.05K
- Potential payout
- $46.98K
- Potential profit
- $39.93K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $6.26K
- Potential payout
- $8.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $473.8
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $94.49
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $74.42
N
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $133.67
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $184.1
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.6%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $841.13
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $23.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $140.92
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