Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $20.7K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $79.3K
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$29.3K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $57.34K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $14.05K
- Potential payout
- $91.22K
- Potential profit
- $77.17K
- Multiplier
- 6.49x
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $13.44K
- Potential payout
- $22.21K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $5.22K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680
0xb9d8...275a Public
- PnL
- $6.9K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #14
llh
0x8349...c99d Public
- PnL
- $6.2K
- Volume
- $4.49K
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 2
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$50
Rank #15
ImJustKen
0x9d84...1344 Verified @Domahhhh
- PnL
- $6.12K
- Volume
- $18.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $14.64K
- Potential payout
- $15.39K
- Potential profit
- $754.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.59K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $14.05K
- Potential payout
- $91.22K
- Potential profit
- $77.17K
- Multiplier
- 6.49x
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Rank #16
flawfence
0x23d8...0288 Public
- PnL
- $5.93K
- Volume
- $48.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $400.83
- Potential payout
- $402.84
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- User PnL
- $114.81
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $38.37
- Potential payout
- $76.74K
- Potential profit
- $76.7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.83K
Rank #17
0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001
0xc97b...47e5 Public
- PnL
- $5.65K
- Volume
- $132.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $227.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$89.36
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $4.09K
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $128.78
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $106.66
Rank #18
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952
0x8b4b...541b Public
- PnL
- $5.5K
- Volume
- $84.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $104.38K
- Potential payout
- $104.43K
- Potential profit
- $52.22
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.45K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$50
Rank #19
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $5.47K
- Volume
- $328.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $20.96K
- Potential payout
- $21.03K
- Potential profit
- $73.61
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $20.7K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $79.3K
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$29.3K
Rank #20
ololololololololo
0x2c4c...cb39 Public
- PnL
- $5.28K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $29.19
- Potential profit
- $28.49
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Rank #21
0xrc
0x4004...c40b Public
- PnL
- $5.18K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $287.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $37.5
Messi position
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $41.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $79.97
Rank #22
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $5.1K
- Volume
- $761.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $8.59K
- Potential payout
- $8.76K
- Potential profit
- $170.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $135.8
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.62K
- Potential payout
- $6.08K
- Potential profit
- $456
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $98.11
Rank #23
65765757
0x2974...9c23 Public
- PnL
- $5.02K
- Volume
- $3.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$966.6
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.42K
- Potential profit
- $23.42K
- User PnL
- -$13.13K
Rank #24
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $5.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 54.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$4.8K
PlayTime position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $14.64K
- Potential payout
- $15.39K
- Potential profit
- $754.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.59K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $14.05K
- Potential payout
- $91.22K
- Potential profit
- $77.17K
- Multiplier
- 6.49x
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $13.44K
- Potential payout
- $22.21K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $5.22K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $8.59K
- Potential payout
- $8.76K
- Potential profit
- $170.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $135.8
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.62K
- Potential payout
- $6.08K
- Potential profit
- $456
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $98.11
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $227.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$89.36
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