Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.14K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $917.41
Potential payout: $366.96K
Potential profit: $366.05K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$39.9K

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $14.68K
Potential payout: $296.65K
Potential profit: $281.96K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:50 PM

PnL: $2.16K
Volume: $1.46K
Win rate: 66%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $131.31
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $135.75

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $917.41
Potential payout: $366.96K
Potential profit: $366.05K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$39.9K

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $4.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mitchell Robinson play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $7.19

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mitchell Robinson play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $7.19

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $76.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $106.57K
Potential profit: $105.02K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $712.73

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $5.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $704.05

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.71K
Volume: $24.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $121.29
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $21.47

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $38.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $48.08

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.66K
Volume: $110.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.26K
Potential payout: $19.95K
Potential profit: $4.69K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $34.37

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $14.44K
Potential payout: $14.67K
Potential profit: $234.79
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $290.92

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $14.68K
Potential payout: $296.65K
Potential profit: $281.96K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.51K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.49K
Volume: $39.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.14K
Potential payout: $52.5K
Potential profit: $44.36K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$18.11K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.71K
Potential payout: $6.71K
Potential profit: $3.35
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.6K
Potential payout: $11.84K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.14K
Potential payout: $52.5K
Potential profit: $44.36K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$18.11K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $6.67K
Potential payout: $101.82K
Potential profit: $95.15K
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$1.39K

If you invest $100 $1.53K back +$1.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $106.57K
Potential profit: $105.02K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $712.73

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

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