Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $33.13K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $291.53
Potential payout: $38.87K
Potential profit: $38.58K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.31K

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $213.46
Potential payout: $15.25K
Potential profit: $15.03K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$8.6K

If you invest $100 $7.14K back +$7.04K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $73.64
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$137.45

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:48 AM

PnL: $4.16K
Volume: $42.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.95K
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $29.83
User PnL: $593.1

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.88K
Potential payout: $3.89K
Potential profit: $9.71
User PnL: $167.12

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.49K
Volume: $342.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $105

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $7.03K
Potential profit: $5.45K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $246.06

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.2K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.43K
User PnL: -$656.39

PnL: $3.31K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $9.73K
User PnL: -$77.86

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $55K
User PnL: -$21.45K

PnL: $3.19K
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 54.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $347.09
Potential payout: $347.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.12

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $291.53
Potential payout: $38.87K
Potential profit: $38.58K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.31K

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.18K
Volume: $7.9
Win rate: 24.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $404.51
Potential payout: $637.03
Potential profit: $232.52
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $3.64

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $147.78
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: $25.45

If you invest $100 $826.45 back +$726.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.02K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $294.37
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$58.43

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $3.51K
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $571.85
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $79.79

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.86K
Volume: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $106.69
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $703.32

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $180.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $34.41

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.83K
Volume: $1.76K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.76K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $38.94
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$65.56

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$582.1

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $970.58
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $228.45

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $294.37
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$58.43

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $3.51K
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $571.85
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $79.79

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.33K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $475.23
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $81.45

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $105

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $7.03K
Potential profit: $5.45K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $246.06

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

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