Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $11.78K
- Potential payout
- $124.03K
- Potential profit
- $112.25K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$34.01K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $48.77K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $11.44K
- Potential payout
- $22.21K
- Potential profit
- $10.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $3.22K
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $991.26
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.51K
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.6K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
ImJustKen
0x9d84...1344 Verified @Domahhhh
- PnL
- $5.74K
- Volume
- $2.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.21K
- Potential payout
- $13.23K
- Potential profit
- $19.84
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $11.78K
- Potential payout
- $124.03K
- Potential profit
- $112.25K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$34.01K
Rank #14
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $5.3K
- Volume
- $52.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $294.73
- Potential payout
- $53.59K
- Potential profit
- $53.29K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $26.79
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $284.84
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$610.37
Rank #15
BrightStars
0xc84f...e0c5 Public
- PnL
- $4.95K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.28K
- Potential profit
- $61.28K
- User PnL
- -$7.97K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $729.49
- Potential profit
- $729.49
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Rank #16
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $4.86K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $529.5
- Potential payout
- $598.31
- Potential profit
- $68.81
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $27.5
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $376.1
- Potential payout
- $482.18
- Potential profit
- $106.08
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $47.1
Rank #17
ishouldnot
0x515e...8309 Public
- PnL
- $4.82K
- Volume
- $4.5K
- Win rate
- 68%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $319.79
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $28.7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $62
Rank #18
Flipadelphia
0x4488...e319 Public
- PnL
- $4.76K
- Volume
- $3.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $991.26
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.51K
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.6K
Yes position
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $358.38
- Potential payout
- $366.82
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.57
Rank #19
Featherweight
0x8475...be5b Public
- PnL
- $4.76K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
eightpenguins
0x3c59...1766 Public
- PnL
- $4.64K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $541.13
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $172.61
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $851.07
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$107.6
Rank #21
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $4.47K
- Volume
- $4.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $26.28
- Potential payout
- $74.03
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $17.03
No position
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $24.54
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Rank #22
Erasmus.
0xc658...b784 Public
- PnL
- $4.47K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $41.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $587.26
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$356
Rank #23
mr.ozi
0x614d...1546 Verified @MrOziPM
- PnL
- $4.35K
- Volume
- $2.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.82K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.35K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.2K
- Potential payout
- $14.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $180.6
Rank #24
0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557
0x25db...28de Public
- PnL
- $4.29K
- Volume
- $15.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $9.31
- Potential payout
- $156.48
- Potential profit
- $147.17
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $69.63
- Potential profit
- $69.15
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $11.44K
- Potential payout
- $22.21K
- Potential profit
- $10.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $11.3K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$175.5
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $41.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $587.26
No position
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $319.79
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $28.7
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$356
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $62
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Live
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes22.5% No77.5%
Market Live
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Live
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes85.5% No14.5%
Market Live
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes71.5% No28.5%
Market Live
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes25.5% No74.5%
Market Soccer Live
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes6.7% No93.4%
Market Live
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes27.5% No72.5%
Market Live
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes62.5% No37.5%
Market Soccer Live
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes5.7% No94.4%
Market Live
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes20.8% No79.2%
Market Soccer Live
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes18.5% No81.6%