Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $252.24K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $12.75K
Potential payout: $1.96M
Potential profit: $1.95M
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $980.72

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $12.4K
Potential payout: $1.31M
Potential profit: $1.29M
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $872.21

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $13.56K
Potential payout: $1.18M
Potential profit: $1.17M
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$653.04

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:08 PM

PnL: $32.95K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$460

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $31.68K
Volume: $456.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $31.02K
Potential profit: $28.19K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $899.72

If you invest $100 $1.09K back +$992.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $7.02
User PnL: $905.6

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $27.72K
Volume: $519.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $13.56K
Potential payout: $1.18M
Potential profit: $1.17M
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$653.04

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $12.75K
Potential payout: $1.96M
Potential profit: $1.95M
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $980.72

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $27.27K
Volume: $6.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $94.94
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $909.72
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$38.1

If you invest $100 $1.06K back +$958.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $77.33
Potential payout: $377.24
Potential profit: $299.91
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $7.15

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $26.68K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $50.92
Potential payout: $110.7
Potential profit: $59.78
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$5.54

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $20.68
Potential payout: $13.79K
Potential profit: $13.77K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.17K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $24.23K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $23.48K
Volume: $236.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$0.57

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $793.04
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $169.92 back +$69.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.56K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $19.55K
Volume: $4.7K
Win rate: 19%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $19.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Lakers position

Suns vs. Lakers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Pittsburgh Pirates position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $17.24K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 31%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $16.98K
Volume: $406.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $794.38
Potential payout: $800.79
Potential profit: $6.41
User PnL: $15.99

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $769.26
Potential payout: $840.73
Potential profit: $71.46
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $36.43

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $31.02K
Potential profit: $28.19K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $899.72

If you invest $100 $1.09K back +$992.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $2.69K
Potential payout: $50.33K
Potential profit: $47.64K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $125.43

If you invest $100 $1.87K back +$1.77K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $793.04
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $169.92 back +$69.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $43.49
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $769.26
Potential payout: $840.73
Potential profit: $71.46
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $36.43

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $740
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $60
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $36

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Yes5.9% No94.1%

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes4.6% No95.5%

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes27.6% No72.4%

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes16.5% No83.5%

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes6% No94%

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes12.5% No87.5%