Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.77K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $19.15K
Potential payout: $153.23K
Potential profit: $134.08K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$13.04K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $9.09K
Potential payout: $126.23K
Potential profit: $117.14K
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $25.68K
Potential payout: $119.43K
Potential profit: $93.75K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$16.9K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:00 AM

PnL: $2.21K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $75

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $125

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.98K
Volume: $3.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $10.41K
Potential payout: $75.19K
Potential profit: $64.77K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$423.08

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $9.37K
Potential payout: $16.58K
Potential profit: $7.21K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$172.05

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.94K
Volume: $12.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $27.71K
Potential payout: $30.97K
Potential profit: $3.25K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.65K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $25.68K
Potential payout: $119.43K
Potential profit: $93.75K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$16.9K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.84K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.72K
Volume: $146.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $538.26
Potential payout: $539.07
Potential profit: $0.81
User PnL: $385.34

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $400.62
Potential payout: $402.84
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: $114.61

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.56K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 22%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $69.97
Potential payout: $598.07
Potential profit: $528.1
Multiplier: 8.55x
User PnL: -$10.02

If you invest $100 $854.7 back +$754.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $36.42
Potential payout: $818.32
Potential profit: $781.9
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$12.99

If you invest $100 $2.25K back +$2.15K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.41K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $2.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $54.11
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $356.41

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $817.41
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$49.54

If you invest $100 $303.03 back +$203.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.77K
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $219.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $179.89

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.35K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $18.51
Potential payout: $606.93
Potential profit: $588.42
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$88.09

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.7

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $10.41K
Potential payout: $75.19K
Potential profit: $64.77K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$423.08

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.77K
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $219.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $179.89

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $9.41K
Potential payout: $10.04K
Potential profit: $632.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.02K

If you invest $100 $106.72 back +$6.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $9.37K
Potential payout: $16.58K
Potential profit: $7.21K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$172.05

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $9.09K
Potential payout: $126.23K
Potential profit: $117.14K
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes20.8% No79.2%

Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes73.5% No26.5%