Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.52K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $319K
Potential profit: $316.29K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $319K
Potential profit: $316.29K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $120
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $15.88K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $35.84

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:53 AM

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $26.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $21.87K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.35K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$25

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.56K
Volume: $371.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will CXMT’s market cap be between 370 billion and 400 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $87.64
Potential payout: $88.66
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.52

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $79.72
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $0.04

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $319K
Potential profit: $316.29K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $319K
Potential profit: $316.29K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $53.39
Potential payout: $278.77
Potential profit: $225.39
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: -$46.61

If you invest $100 $522.19 back +$422.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $50.03
Potential payout: $329.16
Potential profit: $279.12
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: $21.84

If you invest $100 $657.89 back +$557.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $103.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $8.63K
Potential payout: $9.23K
Potential profit: $599.66
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.26K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $8.33K
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$77.78

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.76

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.29
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.05

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.03

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.29K
Volume: $4.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $120.29
Potential payout: $12.66K
Potential profit: $12.54K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $26.74

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $120
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $15.88K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $35.84

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $130.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $6.81K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$62.5

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $6.64K
Potential payout: $7.11K
Potential profit: $468.97
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $319.74

If you invest $100 $107.07 back +$7.07 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $6.81K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$62.5

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $6.64K
Potential payout: $7.11K
Potential profit: $468.97
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $319.74

If you invest $100 $107.07 back +$7.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $6.23K
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $72.51
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $228.71

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $21.87K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.35K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$25

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $319K
Potential profit: $316.29K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

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