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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

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Top 10 PnL on this page $7.95K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $39.04
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$2.53

If you invest $100 $1.28K back +$1.18K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $27.56
Potential profit: $24.52
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.93

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 0% and 3%?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$17.69

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:57 PM

PnL: $809.16
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $807.11
Volume: $5.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.12
Potential profit: $999.12
User PnL: -$907

Yes position

Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.2%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.9

PnL: $799.91
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $799.79
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $797.66
Volume: $11.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Another Ensemble member next Prime Minister of France?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$136.28

Yes position

Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 0% and 3%?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$17.69

PnL: $796.52
Volume: $15.68K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $790.95
Volume: $19.94K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $787.87
Volume: $16.44K
Win rate: 22%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $781.5
Volume: $16.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $3.43
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.38

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $39.04
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$2.53

If you invest $100 $1.28K back +$1.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $777.71
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $774.57
Volume: $400
Open positions: 1

PnL: $772.4
Volume: $2.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.12
Potential profit: $999.12
User PnL: -$907

Yes position

Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.2%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.92
Potential profit: $206.92
User PnL: -$61.54

Yes position

Another Ensemble member next Prime Minister of France?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$136.28

Yes position

Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 0% and 3%?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$17.69

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$1.63K

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch RaposoFight to Go the Distance? Jun 21, 2026

Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

Yes24% No76%

Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes50% No50%

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Yes53.5% No46.5%

O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Yes80% No20%

Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026

Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C

Yes100% No0%

Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)

Yes50% No50%

Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026

Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?

Yes49.5% No50.5%

Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?

Yes50.5% No49.5%

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.51st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 Jun 27, 2026

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 1st 5 Innings Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

Yes0% No100%

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Yes0% No100%

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 27, 2026

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers

Yes49.5% No50.5%

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

Yes0% No100%

Spread -1.5O/U 7.5 Jun 27, 2026

Spread -1.5 Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Yes90% No10%

O/U 7.5 San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

Yes100% No0%

Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 WinnerAsuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Jun 27, 2026

Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Hardt vs Estevez

Yes100% No0%

Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevez

Yes59.5% No40.5%

Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Alexandrova/Noskova vs Eikeri/Gleason Set 1 O/U 8.5Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Alexandrova/Noskova vs Eikeri/Gleason Set 1 O/U 9.5 Jun 27, 2026

Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Alexandrova/Noskova vs Eikeri/Gleason Set 1 O/U 8.5 Alexandrova/Noskova vs. Eikeri/Gleason: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Alexandrova/Noskova vs Eikeri/Gleason Set 1 O/U 9.5 Alexandrova/Noskova vs. Eikeri/Gleason: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Yes0% No100%

San Francisco GiantsMiami Marlins Jun 20, 2026

San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?

Yes50% No50%

Miami Marlins Miami Marlins winning after 5 innings?

Yes50% No50%

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes20.5% No79.5%

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes11% No89%