Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $569.36 POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $620
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Yes position
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.46
- Potential profit
- $107.46
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #601
0xD054e72B9E7995a6900AA8ceD24DcfbD12007e38-1771157416749
0xd054...7e38 Public
- PnL
- $57.49
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #602
0x5087b2De68c1428953eD6cEa142Aaf72E6A8Ded0-1773083434576
0x5087...ded0 Public
- PnL
- $57.42
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #603
FrulliFrulla
0xb18c...b41e Public
- PnL
- $57.11
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #604
0x21ca48D0BC6235AD4798c86666631b1587e7d7Ce-1773940686318
0x21ca...d7ce Public
- PnL
- $57.04
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #605
0x6b0e...e3ea
0x6b0e...e3ea Public
- PnL
- $57.02
- Volume
- $991.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $620
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Yes position
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.46
- Potential profit
- $107.46
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Rank #606
Smart-bettor7
0x7845...417b Public
- PnL
- $56.97
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #607
Tend1esAdd1ction
0xea66...bb43 Public
- PnL
- $56.82
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #608
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430
0x120b...ee03 Public
- PnL
- $56.69
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #609
0x040c...fa38
0x040c...fa38 Public
- PnL
- $56.43
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #610
SongXiaoFeng
0x87fa...7464 Public
- PnL
- $56.37
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #611
0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE
0x7726...4aee Public
- PnL
- $56.24
- Volume
- $791.69
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #612
0xb4849341371E906e7549Deff18aaeE2dEDAc18EB-1773977885730
0xb484...18eb Public
- PnL
- $56.12
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
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Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Yes6.6% No93.4%
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Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes60.5% No39.5%
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Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes84% No16%
Market Live
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes38.9% No61.2%