Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $476.55
- Potential profit
- $474.64
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.65K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $69.12
- Potential profit
- $67.29
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $286.11
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$171.81
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #73
0x485a2E9AD89D9109BB4d37b925bA60f6350421cB-1768423550172
0x485a...21cb Public
- PnL
- $1.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #74
Anon321321
0xe347...b438 Public
- PnL
- $1.01K
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $3.44
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $476.55
- Potential profit
- $474.64
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Rank #75
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $1.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #76
eightpenguins
0x3c59...1766 Public
- PnL
- $1K
- Volume
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$288
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$109
Rank #77
Chp420
0x6fe4...5781 Public
- PnL
- $1K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #78
0x7278b6C6527Ad471c98aEbf5cc39f9953B05A10f-1770901789968
0x7278...a10f Public
- PnL
- $987.19
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #79
GCNO1
0x5011...220e Public
- PnL
- $976.53
- Volume
- $51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $17.46
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Rank #80
orangeapplejuice
0x45b6...676f Public
- PnL
- $901.62
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #81
hideki.hirata
0x267e...b526 Public
- PnL
- $881.65
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #82
BlueOrchid
0x11e5...ee4d Public
- PnL
- $870.65
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #83
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $868.22
- Volume
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $286.11
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$171.81
Rank #84
Jep-G
0x993c...6787 Public
- PnL
- $846.94
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $476.55
- Potential profit
- $474.64
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Yes position
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $69.12
- Potential profit
- $67.29
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
N
No position
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $17.46
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$288
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes16.5% No83.5%
Market Live
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Yes5% No95%
Market Live
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Yes5.5% No94.5%
Market Live
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Yes6.5% No93.5%
Market Live
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Yes10.5% No89.5%
Market Live
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes61.5% No38.5%
Market Live
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes83.5% No16.5%
Market Live
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes38% No62%