Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $330.04
- Potential profit
- $323.93
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$68.81
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $5.76K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $171.5
- Potential profit
- $163.87
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $4.5
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #85
mm4ker
0x8c57...f939 Public
- PnL
- $616.75
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #86
bathon
0xae2f...db23 Public
- PnL
- $591
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #87
TheBigMuscle
0x270a...7b78 Public
- PnL
- $586.08
- Volume
- $420.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Rank #88
0xe4df...39d9
0xe4df...39d9 Public
- PnL
- $584.33
- Volume
- $15.05K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #89
thoodr
0x3eae...e2ed Public
- PnL
- $578.6
- Volume
- $15.64K
- Win rate
- 97.6%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #90
anas10
0xb1fa...1a14 Public
- PnL
- $575
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #91
0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736
0x46a1...2736 Public
- PnL
- $571.59
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$23.5
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.08
- Potential profit
- $100.08
- User PnL
- -$50.04
Rank #92
0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001
0xc97b...47e5 Public
- PnL
- $559.97
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #93
smallreceipt
0x942e...be27 Public
- PnL
- $549.6
- Volume
- $948
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.6%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Rank #94
BikesAreTheBikes
0x215a...254c Public
- PnL
- $547.29
- Volume
- $9.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $171.5
- Potential profit
- $163.87
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0.77
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $6.36
- Potential payout
- $8.31
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $4.36
Rank #95
0x80c045172058D32740ac2887970188ba6b2EED95-1775061091891
0x80c0...ed95 Public
- PnL
- $546.76
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #96
BeneGesseritVoice
0xcb59...0a22 Public @BeneGesseritPM
- PnL
- $523.91
- Volume
- $17.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.6%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $4.5
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$23.5
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.08
- Potential profit
- $100.08
- User PnL
- -$50.04
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$32.66
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