Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.94K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $8.39K
Potential payout: $13.64K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $6.81K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $35.36K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $338.31

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$731.43

If you invest $100 $264.55 back +$164.55 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 7:24 PM

PnL: $962.76
Volume: $32.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $389.41

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$731.43

If you invest $100 $264.55 back +$164.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $927.04
Volume: $28.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $18.25
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $3.82
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $574.72
Volume: $4.16K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $755.53
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $366.73

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $495.27
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $530.73

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $491.82
Volume: $8.49K
Win rate: 76%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $35.36K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $338.31

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $8.55K
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$132.82

If you invest $100 $112.55 back +$12.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $452.46
Volume: $22.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $22.88K
Potential payout: $23.7K
Potential profit: $829.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.92K

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $14.68K
Potential payout: $15.1K
Potential profit: $415.24
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.4K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $338.18
Volume: $320.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$755.07

If you invest $100 $112.55 back +$12.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$90

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $324.24
Volume: $12.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $122.04
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$33.1

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $74.33
Potential payout: $782.38
Potential profit: $708.06
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$30.07

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $322.82
Volume: $10.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.87K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $29.25
User PnL: $114.6

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$30.45

If you invest $100 $106.72 back +$6.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $306.29
Volume: $7.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: $85.51

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Senegal vs. Iraq: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $955.28
Potential payout: $955.76
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $37.69

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $242.2
Volume: $3.29K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $27.26K
Potential payout: $28.03K
Potential profit: $770.85
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $11.64K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $20.94K
Potential payout: $21.44K
Potential profit: $493.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.88K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $223.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $67.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $746.92

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $20.92
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $387.66

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $217.26
Volume: $1.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $4.65K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $633.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $773.18

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $20.94K
Potential payout: $21.44K
Potential profit: $493.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.88K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$755.07

If you invest $100 $112.55 back +$12.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $8.39K
Potential payout: $13.64K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $6.81K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$98.29

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $4.65K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $633.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $773.18

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

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