Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.46K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $67.41K
Potential profit: $63.06K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $800.11

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $23.52K
Potential profit: $21.67K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$838.31

If you invest $100 $1.27K back +$1.17K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.47K
Potential payout: $27.76K
Potential profit: $24.29K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$4.54K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 5:02 AM

PnL: $512.99
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $3.42K
Potential payout: $3.79K
Potential profit: $369.75
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $503.9

If you invest $100 $110.8 back +$10.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $304.04
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $323.26

If you invest $100 $112.61 back +$12.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $349.55
Volume: $570.34
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $6.79K
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $856
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $849.55

If you invest $100 $112.61 back +$12.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $301.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 76.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $297.51
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $432.43

If you invest $100 $112.61 back +$12.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $73.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $132.05

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $286.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.04K
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $854.22
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $36.96

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $323.35
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $563.73

If you invest $100 $112.61 back +$12.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $277.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.47K
Potential payout: $27.76K
Potential profit: $24.29K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$4.54K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $83.78
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $963.45
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$145.23

If you invest $100 $1.25K back +$1.15K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $205.75
Volume: $8.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $67.41K
Potential profit: $63.06K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $800.11

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $5.27K
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: $434.84

If you invest $100 $383.14 back +$283.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $156.71
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $4.03K
User PnL: -$52.39

PnL: $137.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $73.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $141.78

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $286.56
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $959.35
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$213.44

If you invest $100 $434.78 back +$334.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $132.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $14.89K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $112.5
User PnL: $12.52

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $324.34
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $670.89

If you invest $100 $107.87 back +$7.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $102.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: $66.12

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $439.6
Potential payout: $539.45
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $93.58

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $95.31
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $5.54K
Potential payout: $5.76K
Potential profit: $221.94
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.57K

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $5.2K
Potential payout: $6.11K
Potential profit: $916.83
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$96.15

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $92
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $244.97

If you invest $100 $133.33 back +$33.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $796.85
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$345.98

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $8.78K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.17K

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $5.2K
Potential payout: $6.11K
Potential profit: $916.83
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$96.15

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.04K
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $854.22
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $36.96

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $67.41K
Potential profit: $63.06K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $800.11

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $324.34
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $670.89

If you invest $100 $107.87 back +$7.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $187.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $204.12

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

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