Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.31K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $7.26K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $51.98K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $5.38K
Potential payout: $16.48K
Potential profit: $11.1K
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $535.46

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:34 PM

PnL: $1.64K
Volume: $648.7
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $5.8K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $5.07K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $399.29
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $832.69

If you invest $100 $107.87 back +$7.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $10.18K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.96K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.49K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $736.63

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $24.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $310.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $81.32

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $476.04
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $52.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $17.27K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.27K

If you invest $100 $115.81 back +$15.81 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $148.98

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $976.58
Volume: $2.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $16.52K
Potential payout: $19.9K
Potential profit: $3.38K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $720.68

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $13.67K
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $880.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $170.61

If you invest $100 $106.44 back +$6.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $784.67
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $42.26K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.64K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $730.98
Volume: $45.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $10.57K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $119.98 back +$19.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $87.92

If you invest $100 $120.55 back +$20.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $716.18
Volume: $12.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $329.51
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: -$0.17

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $329.51
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: -$0.17

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $603.38
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $618.75
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $487.78

If you invest $100 $112.68 back +$12.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $13.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $862.77

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $482.41
Volume: $18.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $40.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $50.24

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $169.27
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $506.12

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $473.9
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $7.26K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $51.98K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.64K
Potential payout: $10.34K
Potential profit: $4.71K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$465.46

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $428.39
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $112.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $97.5

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.9%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $381.96
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$209.46

If you invest $100 $137.27 back +$37.27 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $16.52K
Potential payout: $19.9K
Potential profit: $3.38K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $720.68

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $13.67K
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $880.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $170.61

If you invest $100 $106.44 back +$6.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $12.15K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $844.98
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $10.57K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $119.98 back +$19.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $10.18K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.96K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $7.47K
Potential payout: $10.16K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.92K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

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