Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.96K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $80.37K
Potential payout: $411.11K
Potential profit: $330.74K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$125.18K

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $330.74K
Potential payout: $411.11K
Potential profit: $80.37K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $125.18K

If you invest $100 $124.3 back +$24.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $13.3K
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $174.98 back +$74.98 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 6:58 AM

PnL: $732.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $16.28K
Potential profit: $14.42K
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: $847.94

If you invest $100 $877.19 back +$777.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $140
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $40

If you invest $100 $1.43K back +$1.33K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $512.84
Volume: $573.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $13.32K
Potential profit: $11.8K
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: $966.59

If you invest $100 $877.19 back +$777.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $52.28
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $489.99
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $158.61
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $174.6

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $116.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $591.51

If you invest $100 $103.73 back +$3.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $283.41
Volume: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$565.17

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $1.64K

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $228.77
Volume: $3.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $15.22K
Potential payout: $15.3K
Potential profit: $76.49
User PnL: $656.72

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $10.7K
Potential payout: $13.29K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $203.43
Volume: $8.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.95K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $3.04K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $502.61

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $281.31
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $12.64

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $141.63
Volume: $574.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $13.3K
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $174.98 back +$74.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $15.59K
Potential profit: $13.33K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.31K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $131.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $8.99K
Potential payout: $9.32K
Potential profit: $331.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $599.91
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $284.87

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $117.73
Volume: $2.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $844.1
Potential payout: $846.22
Potential profit: $2.12
User PnL: $11.94

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $815.63
Potential payout: $821.8
Potential profit: $6.16
User PnL: $53.01

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $114.11
Volume: $8.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $14.73K
Potential payout: $15.08K
Potential profit: $354.37
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.46K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.69K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.29K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.91
Volume: $1.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $330.74K
Potential payout: $411.11K
Potential profit: $80.37K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $125.18K

If you invest $100 $124.3 back +$24.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $80.37K
Potential payout: $411.11K
Potential profit: $330.74K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$125.18K

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $79.19
Volume: $0
Win rate: 41.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $200.61
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: $100.61

If you invest $100 $877.19 back +$777.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $34.19
Potential payout: $6.84K
Potential profit: $6.8K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$35.8

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $13.3K
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $174.98 back +$74.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.69K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.29K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $10.7K
Potential payout: $13.29K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $10.17K
Potential payout: $10.67K
Potential profit: $507
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12.64

If you invest $100 $104.99 back +$4.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $8.99K
Potential payout: $9.32K
Potential profit: $331.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $118.91 back +$18.91 estimated profit if it wins

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