Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.12K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $7.35K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $51.89K
Multiplier: 8.06x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $806.45 back +$706.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $5.4K
Potential payout: $16.48K
Potential profit: $11.08K
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $551.94

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:12 PM

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $648.7
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $5.76K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $388.35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $843.63

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $10.11K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.48K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $15.73
User PnL: $725.39

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $21.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $429.83
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.16K
Volume: $49.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.57K
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $253.84
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $124.37

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $4.49K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $44.94

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $750.48
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $42.17K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.56K

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $628.23
Volume: $10.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $29.82
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: -$0.15

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $29.67
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.03

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $547.86
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $723.25
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $383.28

If you invest $100 $115.14 back +$15.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $17.67
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $858.21

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $537.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $16.07K
Potential payout: $25.72K
Potential profit: $9.64K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$615.49

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $14.12K
Potential payout: $18.7K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.11K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $535.85
Volume: $1.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $16.42K
Potential payout: $19.9K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $621.15

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $13.57K
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $981.93
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $68.78

If you invest $100 $107.24 back +$7.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $503.52
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $7.35K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $51.89K
Multiplier: 8.06x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $806.45 back +$706.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.35K
Potential payout: $6.35K
Potential profit: $3.18
User PnL: $945.72

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $441.49
Volume: $11.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $264.94
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $635.57

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $38.01
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $53

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $399.85
Volume: $27.16K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $10.54K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.33K

If you invest $100 $120.26 back +$20.26 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $5.4K
Potential payout: $16.48K
Potential profit: $11.08K
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $551.94

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $16.07K
Potential payout: $25.72K
Potential profit: $9.64K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$615.49

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $14.12K
Potential payout: $18.7K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.11K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $13.57K
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $981.93
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $68.78

If you invest $100 $107.24 back +$7.24 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $12.15K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $844.98
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $10.54K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.33K

If you invest $100 $120.26 back +$20.26 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $10.11K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

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