Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.87K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $23.46K
Potential profit: $15.6K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.06K

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $16.62K
Potential payout: $19.9K
Potential profit: $3.28K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $820.2

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:00 PM

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $1.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $16.62K
Potential payout: $19.9K
Potential profit: $3.28K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $820.2

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $9.99K
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$103.94

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $37.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $10.55K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $120.19 back +$20.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $6.68K
Potential payout: $8.14K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $40.4

If you invest $100 $121.73 back +$21.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $11.4K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $13.76
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $120.7

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $6.49K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $843.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.32K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $317.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $914.74

If you invest $100 $106.16 back +$6.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $893.04
Volume: $7.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $7.43K
Potential payout: $8.44K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $433.12

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $7.16K
Potential payout: $8.79K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $881.7

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $886.34
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $23.46K
Potential profit: $15.6K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.06K

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $7.43K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $78.79
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.95K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $802.25
Volume: $8.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $332.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $59.15

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $734.06
Volume: $4.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $139.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $754.76

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $3.06K
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $157.59
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $314.21

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $629.12
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $399.83K
Potential payout: $400.03K
Potential profit: $200.02
User PnL: $71.63K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $12.21K
Potential payout: $13.2K
Potential profit: $990.16
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $430.07

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $626.19
Volume: $10.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $16.13K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $204.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $9.9K
Potential payout: $10.24K
Potential profit: $343.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $220.19

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $583.95
Volume: $4.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $696.36
Potential payout: $8.19K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $74.06

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $543.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $42.22K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.6K

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $16.13K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $204.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $12.21K
Potential payout: $13.2K
Potential profit: $990.16
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $430.07

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $12.15K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $844.98
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $11.4K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $10.55K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $120.19 back +$20.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $9.99K
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$103.94

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

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