Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.94K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $15.59K
Potential profit: $13.25K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$4.23K

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $13.26K
Potential profit: $11.61K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$371.23

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $13.85K
Potential profit: $10.86K
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $172.62

If you invest $100 $464.04 back +$364.04 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 8:27 AM

PnL: $829.06
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $2.69K
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $915.1

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $475.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $13.61K
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $9.66K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.3K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $15.59K
Potential profit: $13.25K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$4.23K

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $446.13
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $808.77
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $440.53

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $304.2
Potential payout: $447.35
Potential profit: $143.15
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $154.12

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $421.83
Volume: $1.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $56.58
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $757.87

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $27.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $381.38

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $413.02
Volume: $7.89K
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $71.27
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $306.34

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $38.35

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $287.94
Volume: $880.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $784.96
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $227.89
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $66.28

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $597.52
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $745.22
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$104.59

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $280.91
Volume: $200
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $27.56
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $189.5

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $854.83
Potential payout: $868.29
Potential profit: $13.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $73.44

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $274.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$565.17

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.04K
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $263.23
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.01K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$682.4

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$60

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $250.84
Volume: $1.92K
Win rate: 70.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $13.26K
Potential profit: $11.61K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$371.23

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $944.69
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $444.69

If you invest $100 $312.5 back +$212.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $236.42
Volume: $10.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $14.9K
Potential payout: $16.65K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$80.12

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $12.91K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $658.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $399.47

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.57
Volume: $0
Win rate: 76%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $33.74K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $6.67K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.28K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.61K
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$70.28

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $12.91K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $658.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $399.47

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $191.41

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$565.17

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.04K
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $56.58
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $757.87

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $13.85K
Potential profit: $10.86K
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $172.62

If you invest $100 $464.04 back +$364.04 estimated profit if it wins

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