Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.47K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $901.36
Potential payout: $51.51K
Potential profit: $50.61K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$386.3

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $54.29K
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$1.12K

If you invest $100 $1.2K back +$1.1K estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $630.01
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.42K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:07 AM

PnL: $616.17
Volume: $498.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.95K
Potential payout: $9.97K
Potential profit: $14.95
User PnL: $2.23K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $7.81K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $120.12 back +$20.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $181.38
Volume: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.7
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $5.89

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nongshim RedForce be the Last VCT Pacific Team Standing at EWC 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.75

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $154.23
Volume: $214.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.7%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $679.87
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $616.21

If you invest $100 $156.99 back +$56.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $49.14
Potential payout: $141.46
Potential profit: $92.32
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $24.14

If you invest $100 $287.85 back +$187.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $116.82
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $15.94K
Potential payout: $25.72K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$744.08

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $13.94K
Potential payout: $18.22K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.29K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $104.42
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.7%
Current value: $796.61
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $453.95
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $410.49

If you invest $100 $156.99 back +$56.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $71.07
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$613.29

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $280.06
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $776.78
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$110.52

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $65.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 68%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.7%
Current value: $499.6
Potential payout: $784.3
Potential profit: $284.7
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $199.6

If you invest $100 $156.99 back +$56.99 estimated profit if it wins

Miami Marlins position

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$50

PnL: $59.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.35K
Potential payout: $6.35K
Potential profit: $3.18
User PnL: $945.72

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $10.34K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$310.31

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $55.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $340.01
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $943.05
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $44.42

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $280.47
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $234.68

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $49.02
Volume: $249.15
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $393.52
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $315.84

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $901.36
Potential payout: $51.51K
Potential profit: $50.61K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$386.3

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $45.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $630.01
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.42K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $458.97
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$580.73

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $42.84
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $14.75K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $247.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $77.8
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $409.42

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $9.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $245
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.25K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $7.81K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $120.12 back +$20.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $6.53K
Potential payout: $7.31K
Potential profit: $774.45
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$144.9

If you invest $100 $111.86 back +$11.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $10.34K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$310.31

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $54.29K
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$1.12K

If you invest $100 $1.2K back +$1.1K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $393.52
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $315.84

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

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