Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.14K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $51.51K
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $766.28 back +$666.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $208.15K
Potential payout: $230K
Potential profit: $21.85K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.05K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $8.52K
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $6.83K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$336.96

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 7:15 AM

PnL: $699.39
Volume: $10.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $16.06K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $277.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $9.88K
Potential payout: $10.24K
Potential profit: $363.56
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $199.7

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $578.19
Volume: $5.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.19K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.42K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $22.19
User PnL: $144.22

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $525.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $14.74K
Potential payout: $16.17K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.11K

If you invest $100 $109.71 back +$9.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $449.64
Volume: $11.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $10.57K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $119.98 back +$19.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $6.48K
Potential payout: $7.95K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$7.56

If you invest $100 $122.62 back +$22.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $375.02
Volume: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $208.15K
Potential payout: $230K
Potential profit: $21.85K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.05K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $63.01K
Potential payout: $63.11K
Potential profit: $94.66
User PnL: $783.44

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $325.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $8.52K
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $6.83K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$336.96

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $51.51K
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $766.28 back +$666.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $320.39
Volume: $3.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $476.04
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $297.47
Volume: $3.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $6.93K
Potential payout: $7.74K
Potential profit: $813.14
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $549.96

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $5.83K
Potential payout: $7.83K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $244.91

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $296.71
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $12.46K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $215.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $331.4

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $53.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $81.75

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $272.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $277.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $828.77

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $13.68
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $862.2

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $269.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $9.72K
Potential payout: $9.89K
Potential profit: $168.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $197.96

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $2.38K
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $163.06
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$111.25

If you invest $100 $106.84 back +$6.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $239.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.28K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $714.86
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $635.92

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $154.81
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $332.41

If you invest $100 $110.93 back +$10.93 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $14.74K
Potential payout: $16.17K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.11K

If you invest $100 $109.71 back +$9.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $10.57K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $119.98 back +$19.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.28K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $714.86
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $635.92

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $9.88K
Potential payout: $10.24K
Potential profit: $363.56
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $199.7

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $8.52K
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $6.83K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$336.96

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.19K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

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