Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $367.12
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $207.45K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
bravenewboy
0xad4a...ddb8 Public
- PnL
- $204.7K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $415
- Potential payout
- $415
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $339.71
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $212.5
- Potential payout
- $212.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $204
Rank #2
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $597.63
- Volume
- $21.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $132.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $367.12
Rank #3
Waterfall
0x6385...93f2 Public @911Waterfall
- PnL
- $462.03
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $415.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $458.39
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $328.47
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $298.83
Rank #4
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b67...b814 Public
- PnL
- $346.07
- Volume
- $739.26
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.59K
- Potential payout
- $9.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $6.72K
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $924.78
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $780.76
Rank #5
Dzibra1998.
0x0dba...71e9 Public
- PnL
- $319.88
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $321.42
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $408.52
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $165.28
Rank #6
WindsonC
0x76aa...c4f4 Public @Windson_go
- PnL
- $285.73
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.15K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $736.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $154.78
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $349.34
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $537.74
Rank #7
iForgor
0x0562...9d66 Public @iForgor_PM
- PnL
- $200
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Rank #8
tobiasschwarz
0xc8e8...d739 Public
- PnL
- $193.12
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $100.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $114.96
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $186.89
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$313.11
Rank #9
Linslav
0x3594...dc58 Public
- PnL
- $174.11
- Volume
- $37.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $72.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $981.72
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $393.13
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$206.87
Rank #10
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $168.58
- Volume
- $6.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Brazil position
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $17.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $32.74
Rank #11
Sreisz
0xddd8...e6f7 Public
- PnL
- $156.71
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.15K
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Rank #12
kl1v
0x5999...ae94 Public
- PnL
- $156.7
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $119.46
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $292.3
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $46.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $147.53
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $415.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $458.39
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $415.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $132.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $2.03K
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $553.77
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $654.24
Market Context
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Market Live
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
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Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Yes38% No62%
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Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
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Market Live
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Yes23.5% No76.5%