Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $43.38K
- Potential profit
- $39.2K
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $2.8K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.61K
- Potential payout
- $27.76K
- Potential profit
- $24.16K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $193.24K
- Potential payout
- $205.03K
- Potential profit
- $11.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $29.21K
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
Waterfall
0x6385...93f2 Public @911Waterfall
- PnL
- $478.58
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $394.4
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $479.25
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $304.04
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $323.26
Rank #2
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $384.96
- Volume
- $13.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $488.3
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $522.49
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Rank #3
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b67...b814 Public
- PnL
- $375.5
- Volume
- $570.34
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.4K
- Potential payout
- $9.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $856
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $849.55
Rank #4
WindsonC
0x76aa...c4f4 Public @Windson_go
- PnL
- $303.99
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.92K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $972.04
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$80.86
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $323.35
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $563.73
Rank #5
Dzibra1998.
0x0dba...71e9 Public
- PnL
- $291.64
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $297.51
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $432.43
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $61.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $143.31
Rank #6
grapygroyp
0x41f3...6202 Public
- PnL
- $277.65
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.61K
- Potential payout
- $27.76K
- Potential profit
- $24.16K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $83.78
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $963.45
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$145.23
Rank #7
JAMJAMJAM4
0xe8c4...395d Public
- PnL
- $226.85
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $14.89K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- User PnL
- $12.52
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $4.12K
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $324.34
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $670.89
Rank #8
Sreisz
0xddd8...e6f7 Public
- PnL
- $156.71
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $550
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $558.39
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$456.87
Rank #9
Macks22
0x1057...9ea5 Public
- PnL
- $153.51
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $193.24K
- Potential payout
- $205.03K
- Potential profit
- $11.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $29.21K
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $153.02K
- Potential payout
- $153.64K
- Potential profit
- $614.55
- User PnL
- $17.74K
Rank #10
yen4u
0xf0d5...c665 Public
- PnL
- $153.36
- Volume
- $31.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $10.4K
- Potential payout
- $11.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $306.19
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $6.15K
- Potential payout
- $14.13K
- Potential profit
- $7.98K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $130.14
Rank #11
kl1v
0x5999...ae94 Public
- PnL
- $140.97
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $128.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $283.11
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $72.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $121.73
Rank #12
tobiasschwarz
0xc8e8...d739 Public
- PnL
- $130.82
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $71.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $143.7
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $205.57
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$294.42
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.4K
- Potential payout
- $9.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $856
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $849.55
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $6.15K
- Potential payout
- $14.13K
- Potential profit
- $7.98K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $130.14
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.96K
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $771.54
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.92K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $972.04
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$80.86
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $43.38K
- Potential profit
- $39.2K
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes56.5% No43.5%
Market Live
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes43.5% No56.5%
Market Live
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Yes84.5% No15.5%