Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $343.5
- Potential payout
- $98.14K
- Potential profit
- $97.8K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$514.27
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page -$82.13 TECH · DAY · Volume sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $214.73
- Potential payout
- $21.47K
- Potential profit
- $21.26K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$812.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $608.99
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $20.39K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$514.12
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #13
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $15.02
- Volume
- $648.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $23.61
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $23.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Rank #14
onmyelevator
0x5fc5...c282 Public
- PnL
- -$9.08
- Volume
- $619.12
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #15
Wojtek
0x07d4...8991 Public @KrasnalWojtek
- PnL
- $29.91
- Volume
- $599.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $364.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $535.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $343.5
- Potential payout
- $98.14K
- Potential profit
- $97.8K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$514.27
Rank #16
david420
0x9416...5a15 Public
- PnL
- $0.37
- Volume
- $537.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $191.09
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Rank #17
ultralisk
0x7495...7fcf Public
- PnL
- -$131.92
- Volume
- $419.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $500.91
- Potential payout
- $801.45
- Potential profit
- $300.54
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $484.46
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $483.91
- Potential payout
- $834.32
- Potential profit
- $350.41
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $355.8
Rank #18
ToyodaMan
0x9d4a...6cb1 Public
- PnL
- -$4.71
- Volume
- $411.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Rank #19
1walrus
0x6560...e164 Public
- PnL
- $3.1
- Volume
- $388.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $53.32
- Potential payout
- $58.76
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $25.12
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.9
Rank #20
0xc7d940cA
0xfe2d...a830 Public
- PnL
- -$8.73
- Volume
- $388.16
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
Haradwaith
0x21ff...0d71 Public
- PnL
- -$7.78
- Volume
- $367.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $157.48
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $33.8
No position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $11.64
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.56
Rank #22
hl.contrariandog
0x0ab3...b750 Public @Deshady_
- PnL
- $31.68
- Volume
- $361.55
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #23
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- -$100.42
- Volume
- $340.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $762
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $6.39K
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- $244.02
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $650.87
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $91.79
Rank #24
Carlosfx9
0x6fac...ee47 Public
- PnL
- $16.15
- Volume
- $334.79
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $762
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $6.39K
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- $244.02
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $650.87
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $91.79
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $608.99
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $20.39K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$514.12
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $500.91
- Potential payout
- $801.45
- Potential profit
- $300.54
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $484.46
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $483.91
- Potential payout
- $834.32
- Potential profit
- $350.41
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $355.8
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $438.49
- Potential payout
- $712.99
- Potential profit
- $274.5
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $345.8
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Yes68.5% No31.5%
Jordan Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Yes9.5% No90.5%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes49.5% No50.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes48.5% No51.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan - Second Half Result
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Austria to win the second half?
Yes39% No61%
Jordan Jordan to win the second half?
Yes10% No90%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event Live
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerEnds in Daytime Jun 17, 2026
Match Winner Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes59.5% No40.5%
Ends in Daytime Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Game 1 WinnerMatch Winner Jun 17, 2026
Game 1 Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
Yes100% No0.1%
Match Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Yes88.5% No11.5%
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Live
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes10.5% No89.5%