Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $35.5
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $7.06K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$836.88
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $2.73K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $50.3
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $495.6
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$252.77
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #13
seal7
0x2b9d...adc0 Public
- PnL
- $349.61
- Volume
- $84.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $495.6
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$252.77
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $474.29
- Potential payout
- $475.24
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $54.59
Rank #14
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900
0x122c...fbed Public
- PnL
- $341.05
- Volume
- $459.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $846.04
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $259.89
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $764.64
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $828.36
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $10.26
Rank #15
0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29
0x7131...29cc Public
- PnL
- $334.91
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #16
melganis
0x0bfb...26a7 Public
- PnL
- $334.88
- Volume
- $6.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $596.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- User PnL
- $39.7
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $540
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $60
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $36
Rank #17
ultralisk
0x7495...7fcf Public
- PnL
- $252.15
- Volume
- $4.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $327.25
- Potential payout
- $840.17
- Potential profit
- $512.92
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $301.96
No position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $309.37
- Potential payout
- $310.45
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- $187.67
Rank #18
Dios777
0x808d...ebfd Public @Dios_7778
- PnL
- $244.2
- Volume
- $184.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #19
0xa2cd...2e8c
0xa2cd...2e8c Public
- PnL
- $236.35
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
youngcheese
0x75a2...6992 Public
- PnL
- $227.88
- Volume
- $1.7K
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $89.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $260.75
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$85.75
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $50.3
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Rank #21
snrts
0xfbe5...33a4 Public
- PnL
- $218.56
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Rank #22
Rex416
0x9a3f...914a Public
- PnL
- $186.12
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$147.39
Rank #23
p0laris
0xafa7...2cee Public
- PnL
- $160.72
- Volume
- $685.26
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #24
StopKillingBlackTransgenderKids
0xc004...c095 Public
- PnL
- $156.6
- Volume
- $2.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $846.04
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $259.89
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $764.64
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $828.36
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $10.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $703.1
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $93.2
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $540
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $60
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $495.6
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$252.77
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $327.25
- Potential payout
- $840.17
- Potential profit
- $512.92
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $301.96
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