Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.65K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $74.54
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.02K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$797.84

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $741.17
Potential profit: $728.94
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$416.27

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $66.57
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.01K

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:27 AM

PnL: $216.87
Volume: $3.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $651.57
Potential payout: $680.85
Potential profit: $29.28
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $186.8

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $596.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $3.6
User PnL: $39.4

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $212.85
Volume: $343.43
Win rate: 66%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $181.62
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $128
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $507.16

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$162.39

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $177.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $175.53
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.04

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.35

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $153.06
Volume: $486.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$73.06

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$73.06

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $138.86
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $134.05
Volume: $1.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $132.82
Volume: $3.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $286
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $114
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $280.51
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $232.89

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $126.64
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $537.74
Potential payout: $867.33
Potential profit: $329.59
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $151.88

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $527.8
Potential payout: $651.61
Potential profit: $123.81
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $86.17

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $124.38
Volume: $215.97
Win rate: 9.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $74.54
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.02K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$797.84

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $66.57
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.01K

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $116.08
Volume: $1.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.01K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 53.1%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $908.75
Multiplier: 1.88x
User PnL: $968.34

If you invest $100 $188.32 back +$88.32 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.01K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 53.1%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $908.75
Multiplier: 1.88x
User PnL: $968.34

If you invest $100 $188.32 back +$88.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $919.93

If you invest $100 $240.1 back +$140.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $651.57
Potential payout: $680.85
Potential profit: $29.28
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $186.8

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $549
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $51
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $45

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $537.74
Potential payout: $867.33
Potential profit: $329.59
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $151.88

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

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