Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.98K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.16K
Potential payout: $80K
Potential profit: $76.84K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$960

If you invest $100 $2.53K back +$2.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $457.81
Potential payout: $19.9K
Potential profit: $19.45K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$626.18

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $662.91
Potential payout: $20.72K
Potential profit: $20.05K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$561.77

If you invest $100 $3.13K back +$3.03K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:36 PM

PnL: $258.78
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $376.54
Potential payout: $435.31
Potential profit: $58.77
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $198.07

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $348.43
Potential payout: $362
Potential profit: $13.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $188.78

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $233.55
Volume: $585
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $207.98
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $27.03
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$3.53

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $169
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $230.43
Volume: $533
Open positions: 1

PnL: $211.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $444.16
Potential payout: $573.11
Potential profit: $128.95
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $89.76

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $432.06
Potential payout: $708.3
Potential profit: $276.24
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$23.54

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $187.69
Volume: $0
Win rate: 59.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $695.47
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$70.96

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $662.91
Potential payout: $20.72K
Potential profit: $20.05K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$561.77

If you invest $100 $3.13K back +$3.03K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $180.82
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $66.58
Potential payout: $887.75
Potential profit: $821.17
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$35.01

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $40.62
Potential payout: $81.24K
Potential profit: $81.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$121.86

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $175.66
Volume: $1.54K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $173.07
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $165.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $218.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $186.25

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $209.85
Potential payout: $399.71
Potential profit: $189.86
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $23.55

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $162.26
Volume: $5.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Faker Win MSI Finals MVP

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $16.66
Potential profit: $15.24
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $1.14

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $251.69
Potential profit: $250.31
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.6

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $161.62
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $57.31
Potential payout: $59.57
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.54

If you invest $100 $103.95 back +$3.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Current value: $55.77
Potential payout: $64.33
Potential profit: $8.56
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$1.79

If you invest $100 $115.34 back +$15.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $154.89
Volume: $122.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $5.62K
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $176.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $540.61

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $31.91
User PnL: $317.15

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $662.91
Potential payout: $20.72K
Potential profit: $20.05K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$561.77

If you invest $100 $3.13K back +$3.03K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $457.81
Potential payout: $19.9K
Potential profit: $19.45K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$626.18

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $444.16
Potential payout: $573.11
Potential profit: $128.95
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $89.76

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $432.06
Potential payout: $708.3
Potential profit: $276.24
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$23.54

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.3%
Current value: $431.34
Potential payout: $604.96
Potential profit: $173.62
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$3.75

If you invest $100 $140.25 back +$40.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $376.54
Potential payout: $435.31
Potential profit: $58.77
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $198.07

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

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