Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.05K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:30 PM

PnL: $591.13
Volume: $6.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $293.67
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$79.96

If you invest $100 $118.55 back +$18.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $71.79
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.61

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $578.55
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.75
Potential profit: $90.75
User PnL: -$15

PnL: $557.25
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $251.95
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $804.43
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: -$48.82

If you invest $100 $419.29 back +$319.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $5.77K
Potential profit: $5.54K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$869.32

If you invest $100 $2.56K back +$2.46K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $527.14
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $502.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $11.17
Potential payout: $20.31
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.2

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $432.98
Potential profit: $426.27
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $1.41

If you invest $100 $6.45K back +$6.35K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $493.11
Volume: $6.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $339.1
Potential payout: $481
Potential profit: $141.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $233.28

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $339.07
Potential payout: $358.24
Potential profit: $19.17
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $213.33

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $468.35
Volume: $15.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.15

If you invest $100 $2.3K back +$2.2K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.88

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $460.78
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $451.04
Volume: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $163.3
Potential payout: $163.55
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $52.8

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $150.02
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $0.98
User PnL: $46.12

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $421.01
Volume: $5.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $602.09
Potential payout: $738.85
Potential profit: $136.76
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $168.77

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $591.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $34.3

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $390.14
Volume: $1.58K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $380.73
Volume: $12.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $602.09
Potential payout: $738.85
Potential profit: $136.76
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $168.77

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $591.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $34.3

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $572.01
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $497.16
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$98.5

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $339.1
Potential payout: $481
Potential profit: $141.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $233.28

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $339.07
Potential payout: $358.24
Potential profit: $19.17
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $213.33

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $331.8
Potential payout: $839.99
Potential profit: $508.2
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $182.6

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

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