Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.55K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $106.18
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $4.32K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$1.26K

If you invest $100 $4.17K back +$4.07K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $109.64
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$224.06

If you invest $100 $2.5K back +$2.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $9.46K
Potential profit: $8.43K
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $147.06

If you invest $100 $921.66 back +$821.66 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:52 AM

PnL: $208.75
Volume: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $660
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$718.44

If you invest $100 $303.03 back +$203.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $622.58
Potential payout: $681.91
Potential profit: $59.33
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $100.52

If you invest $100 $109.53 back +$9.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $202.62
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $665.77
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $252.2

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $639.66
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$173.32

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $170.95
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $256.14
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $960.7
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $145.01

If you invest $100 $475.06 back +$375.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $213.84
Potential payout: $264
Potential profit: $50.16
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $144.3

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $161.48
Volume: $4.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $172.77
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $82.59

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $20.93

If you invest $100 $217.16 back +$117.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $160.24
Volume: $353.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $11.73
Potential payout: $156.39
Potential profit: $144.66
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $2.53

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $854
Potential profit: $843.33
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$10.68

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $133.61
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $91.18
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $497.06
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$8.82

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $82.64
Potential payout: $661.13
Potential profit: $578.49
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$167.36

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $131.27
Volume: $4.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $129.41
Volume: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $88.48
Potential payout: $141.56
Potential profit: $53.09
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $83.03

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $88.34
Potential payout: $88.74
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $70.6

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $128.81
Volume: $97.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $115.7
Potential payout: $325.91
Potential profit: $210.21
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$79.3

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $109.64
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$224.06

If you invest $100 $2.5K back +$2.4K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $121.32
Volume: $400
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $139.06
Potential profit: $136.7
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$32

If you invest $100 $5.88K back +$5.78K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $83.22
Potential profit: $81.18
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$64

If you invest $100 $4.08K back +$3.98K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $115.47
Volume: $702.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $107.98
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $523.16
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $762.57
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $20.44

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $327.73
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $783.23
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $16.66

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $665.77
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $252.2

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $660
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$718.44

If you invest $100 $303.03 back +$203.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $639.66
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$173.32

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $622.58
Potential payout: $681.91
Potential profit: $59.33
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $100.52

If you invest $100 $109.53 back +$9.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $606.58
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $506.41
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $573.85

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $601.57
Potential payout: $751.97
Potential profit: $150.39
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $81.07

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

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