Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.47K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $18.44K
Potential profit: $16.87K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.33K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $15.91K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $365.72

If you invest $100 $1.04K back +$936.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $949.98
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.05K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.38K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:18 PM

PnL: $203.85
Volume: $3.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $18.44K
Potential profit: $16.87K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.33K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $15.91K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $365.72

If you invest $100 $1.04K back +$936.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $189.84
Volume: $5.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $497.99
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: $33

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $496.99
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $191

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $176.71
Volume: $5.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $144.62
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $196.67
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $470
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$3.33

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $150.33
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $5.32K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$1.35K

If you invest $100 $3.64K back +$3.54K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $134.48
Volume: $0
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $132.5
Volume: $8.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $949.98
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.05K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.38K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $900
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$433.33

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $131.24
Volume: $761.15
Open positions: 1

PnL: $130.84
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $114.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $42.24

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $179.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $630.85

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $113.95
Volume: $8.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $624.71
Potential payout: $726.41
Potential profit: $101.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$8.18

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $615.45
Potential payout: $658.24
Potential profit: $42.79
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.49

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $112.41
Volume: $4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $9.76K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$194.21

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$129.46

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $110.4
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $950.07
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $117.42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $290.85

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $851.59
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $468.71
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$108.34

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $109.33
Volume: $676.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $12.27
Potential payout: $51.15
Potential profit: $38.87
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $11.03

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.3%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $27.2
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: $9.5

If you invest $100 $330.58 back +$230.58 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $18.44K
Potential profit: $16.87K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.33K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $15.91K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $365.72

If you invest $100 $1.04K back +$936.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $566.44

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $950.07
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $117.42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $290.85

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $949.98
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.05K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.38K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $900
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$433.33

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

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Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Yes2.9% No97.1%