Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $439.78 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $35.47
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $5.42K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.92

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $7.48

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $35.71
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.97

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 5:33 AM

PnL: $51.16
Volume: $5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $34.58
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$89.7

If you invest $100 $3.33K back +$3.23K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $33.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.2

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $50.59
Volume: $100
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $70.77
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.73

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by August 30?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $69.81
Potential payout: $104.19
Potential profit: $34.38
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$30.19

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $49.42
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $47.4
Volume: $387
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$267.03

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $4.8
User PnL: $79.13

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $46.79
Volume: $637.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $819.58
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $198.53
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $615.96

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $812.95
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $487.77
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $773.54

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $41.24
Volume: $4.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $259.47
Potential payout: $432.44
Potential profit: $172.98
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$17.3

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $257.06
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $29.61

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $40.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $18.72
Potential payout: $22.03
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.1

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $17.9
Potential payout: $19.67
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.75

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $38.88
Volume: $0
Win rate: 23.8%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $37.23
Volume: $69.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $25.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $224.38
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$6.88

If you invest $100 $975.61 back +$875.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $57.74
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $11.55

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $36.91
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $36.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $74.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $294.99

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $114.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $35.61
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $7.48

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $35.71
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.97

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $819.58
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $198.53
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $615.96

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $812.95
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $487.77
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $773.54

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $802.78
Potential payout: $973.07
Potential profit: $170.29
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $802.78

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $259.47
Potential payout: $432.44
Potential profit: $172.98
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$17.3

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $257.06
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $29.61

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $245.68
Potential payout: $406.08
Potential profit: $160.4
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $10.15

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.